Integrating prediction in mean-variance portfolio optimization.

التفاصيل البيبلوغرافية
العنوان: Integrating prediction in mean-variance portfolio optimization.
المؤلفون: Butler, Andrew1 (AUTHOR), Kwon, Roy H.1 (AUTHOR) rkwon@mie.utoronto.ca
المصدر: Quantitative Finance. Mar2023, Vol. 23 Issue 3, p429-452. 24p.
مصطلحات موضوعية: Asset allocation, Prediction models, Forecasting, Analytical solutions, Regression analysis, Income inequality
مستخلص: In quantitative finance, prediction models are traditionally optimized independently from their use in the asset allocation decision-making process. We address this limitation and present a stochastic optimization framework for integrating regression prediction models in a mean-variance optimization (MVO) setting. Closed-form analytical solutions are provided for the unconstrained and equality constrained MVO case. For the general inequality constrained case, we make use of recent advances in neural-network architecture for efficient optimization of batch quadratic programs. To our knowledge, this is the first rigorous study of integrating prediction in a mean-variance portfolio optimization setting. We present several simulations, using both synthetic and global futures data, and demonstrate the benefits of the integrated approach in comparison to the decoupled alternative. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
قاعدة البيانات: Finance Source
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الوصف
تدمد:14697688
DOI:10.1080/14697688.2022.2162432