Academic Journal

On the evolution of income elasticities of imports and Thirlwall’s Law: A Bayesian analysis for Latin America (1961-2018)

التفاصيل البيبلوغرافية
العنوان: On the evolution of income elasticities of imports and Thirlwall’s Law: A Bayesian analysis for Latin America (1961-2018)
المؤلفون: Ferreira, Diego, Palma, Andreza A., Curado, Marcelo Luiz
المصدر: Estudos Econômicos (São Paulo). September 2021 51(3)
بيانات النشر: Departamento de Economia; Faculdade de Economia, Administração e Contabilidade da Universidade de São Paulo (FEA-USP), 2021.
سنة النشر: 2021
مصطلحات موضوعية: Import Elasticity, Thirlwall’s Law, Balance-of-Payments-Constrained Growth, Latin America, Bayesian Estimation, Time-Varying Parameter
الوصف: This paper analyzes the evolution of income elasticities of imports and verifies the validity original Thirlwall’s Law for eight Latin American countries overs the period 1961-2018. Given the econometric issues inherent to classical time-varying parameter regressions, a Bayesian estimation procedure is implemented in order to provide more robust parameter estimates. A stochastic volatility specification is also included to take into account the potential presence of conditional heteroskedasticity. While some Latin American economies showed a rather stable behavior, the income elasticities of imports for Brazil, Colombia and Mexico presented an upward trend from 1961 to 2018. Regarding the validity of original Thirlwall’s Law, there were evidences of the balance-of-payments (BOP) posing a restriction to the growth performance in all of the eight selected Latin American countries.
نوع الوثيقة: article
وصف الملف: text/html
اللغة: English
تدمد: 0101-4161
DOI: 10.1590/0101-41615132dam
URL الوصول: http://old.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0101-41612021000300453
Rights: info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
رقم الانضمام: edssci.S0101.41612021000300453
قاعدة البيانات: SciELO
الوصف
تدمد:01014161
DOI:10.1590/0101-41615132dam