Predicting customer churn: A case study in the software industry

التفاصيل البيبلوغرافية
العنوان: Predicting customer churn: A case study in the software industry
المؤلفون: Dias, João Pedro Rolim
المساهمون: António, Nuno Miguel da Conceição, RUN
سنة النشر: 2023
مصطلحات موضوعية: Data Mining, Customer Churn, Churn Prediction, Machine Learning, Supervised Learning, SaaS, Domínio/Área Científica::Ciências Naturais::Ciências da Computação e da Informação
الوصف: Project Work presented as the partial requirement for obtaining a Master's degree in Data Driven Marketing, specialization in Digital Marketing and Analytics
Description (Translated): Customer churn can be defined as the phenomenon of customers that discontinue their relationship with a company. This problem is transversal to many industries, including the software industry. This study uses Machine Learning to build a predictive model to identify potential churners in a Portuguese software house. Six popular Machine Learning models: Random Forest, AdaBoost, Gradient Boosting Machine, Multilayer Perceptron Classifier, XGBoost, and Logistic Regression, were developed to assess which one would have a better performance. The experimental results show that boosting techniques such as XGBoost present the best predictive performance. The XGBoost model presents a Recall of 0.85 and a ROC AUC of 0.86. Additionally to the model performance, the study of the model features’ importance revealed that some factors, such as the time to solve a support ticket, the type of application, the license age, and the number of incidents, significantly influence customer churn. These insights can help the software industry key drivers of churn and prioritize retention efforts accordingly.
Contents Note: TID:203385721
وصف الملف: application/pdf
اللغة: English
الاتاحة: http://hdl.handle.net/10362/159898
Rights: embargoed access
رقم الانضمام: rcaap.com.unl.run.unl.pt.10362.159898
قاعدة البيانات: RCAAP