Electronic Resource

Bayesian Combinations of Stock Price Predictions with an Application to the Amsterdam Exchange Index

التفاصيل البيبلوغرافية
العنوان: Bayesian Combinations of Stock Price Predictions with an Application to the Amsterdam Exchange Index
المؤلفون: Billio, M. (Monica), Casarin, R. (Roberto), Ravazzolo, F. (Francesco), Dijk, H.K. (Herman) van
بيانات النشر: 2011-05-02
نوع الوثيقة: Electronic Resource
مستخلص: We summarize the general combination approach by Billio et al. [2010]. In the combination model the weights follow logistic autoregressive processes, change over time and their dynamics are possible driven by the past forecasting performances of the predictive densities. For illustrative purposes we apply it to combine White Noise and GARCH models to forecast the Amsterdam Exchange index and use the combined predictive forecasts in an investment asset allocation exercise.
مصطلحات الفهرس: density forecast combination, stock data, info:eu-repo/semantics/workingPaper
URL: http://repub.eur.nl/pub/23459
الاتاحة: Open access content. Open access content
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
ملاحظة: application/pdf
Discussion paper / Tinbergen Institute, pp. 1-18
English
Other Numbers: QGQ oai:repub.eur.nl:23459
urn:hdl:1765/23459
929968930
المصدر المساهم: ERASMUS UNIVERSITEIT ROTTERDAM
From OAIster®, provided by the OCLC Cooperative.
رقم الانضمام: edsoai.ocn929968930
قاعدة البيانات: OAIster