Academic Journal
Opposing Changes in Indian Summer Monsoon Rainfall Variability Produced by Orbital and Anthropogenic Forcing
| العنوان: | Opposing Changes in Indian Summer Monsoon Rainfall Variability Produced by Orbital and Anthropogenic Forcing |
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| المؤلفون: | Jiazhi He, Weiyi Sun, Bin Wang, Jian Liu, Liang Ning, Mi Yan |
| المصدر: | Geophysical Research Letters, Vol 51, Iss 17, Pp n/a-n/a (2024) |
| بيانات النشر: | Wiley, 2024. |
| سنة النشر: | 2024 |
| المجموعة: | LCC:Geophysics. Cosmic physics |
| مصطلحات موضوعية: | indian summer monsoon rainfall, climate variability, last interglacial, ENSO, climate simulation, Geophysics. Cosmic physics, QC801-809 |
| الوصف: | Abstract Future projections indicate that Indian Summer Monsoon Rainfall (ISMR) faces a “wetter and more variable” climate. However, the reasons remain uncertain. The Last Interglacial (LIG) climate provides a potential analog for future warming. Investigating ISMR responses to these two warming scenarios could help understand the causes of ISMR changes. Using PMIP4 simulations, we find that ISMR became “wetter and more stable” during the LIG, contrasting the future climate. The opposing changes in ISMR variability are related to divergent changes in the El Niño‐Southern Oscillation (ENSO) amplitudes, ENSO‐ISMR relationships, and ENSO‐induced large‐scale atmospheric circulation anomalies. During the LIG, orbital forcing weakened ENSO variability and its impacts on ISMR. A westward positioning of ENSO shifted the atmospheric circulation anomalies westward, suppressing extreme ISMR anomalies. These processes are supported by atmospheric model simulations. Our results suggest that different warming patterns (dynamic effects) are more critical than moisture‐increasing effects in controlling regional climate variability. |
| نوع الوثيقة: | article |
| وصف الملف: | electronic resource |
| اللغة: | English |
| تدمد: | 1944-8007 0094-8276 |
| Relation: | https://doaj.org/toc/0094-8276; https://doaj.org/toc/1944-8007 |
| DOI: | 10.1029/2024GL109897 |
| URL الوصول: | https://doaj.org/article/cebf514c89814aae97a89c3d3091c1ce |
| رقم الانضمام: | edsdoj.bf514c89814aae97a89c3d3091c1ce |
| قاعدة البيانات: | Directory of Open Access Journals |
Full Text Finder | تدمد: | 19448007 00948276 |
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| DOI: | 10.1029/2024GL109897 |