Academic Journal
Constraining the response of continental-scale groundwater flow to climate change
| العنوان: | Constraining the response of continental-scale groundwater flow to climate change |
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| المؤلفون: | Ben Mather, R. Dietmar Müller, Craig O’Neill, Adam Beall, R. Willem Vervoort, Louis Moresi |
| المصدر: | Scientific Reports, Vol 12, Iss 1, Pp 1-16 (2022) |
| بيانات النشر: | Nature Portfolio, 2022. |
| سنة النشر: | 2022 |
| المجموعة: | LCC:Medicine LCC:Science |
| مصطلحات موضوعية: | Medicine, Science |
| الوصف: | Abstract Numerical models of groundwater flow play a critical role for water management scenarios under climate extremes. Large-scale models play a key role in determining long range flow pathways from continental interiors to the oceans, yet struggle to simulate the local flow patterns offered by small-scale models. We have developed a highly scalable numerical framework to model continental groundwater flow which capture the intricate flow pathways between deep aquifers and the near-surface. The coupled thermal-hydraulic basin structure is inferred from hydraulic head measurements, recharge estimates from geochemical proxies, and borehole temperature data using a Bayesian framework. We use it to model the deep groundwater flow beneath the Sydney–Gunnedah–Bowen Basin, part of Australia’s largest aquifer system. Coastal aquifers have flow rates of up to 0.3 m/day, and a corresponding groundwater residence time of just 2,000 years. In contrast, our model predicts slow flow rates of 0.005 m/day for inland aquifers, resulting in a groundwater residence time of $$\sim $$ ∼ 400,000 years. Perturbing the model to account for a drop in borehole water levels since 2000, we find that lengthened inland flow pathways depart significantly from pre-2000 streamlines as groundwater is drawn further from recharge zones in a drying climate. Our results illustrate that progressively increasing water extraction from inland aquifers may permanently alter long-range flow pathways. Our open-source modelling approach can be extended to any basin and may help inform policies on the sustainable management of groundwater. |
| نوع الوثيقة: | article |
| وصف الملف: | electronic resource |
| اللغة: | English |
| تدمد: | 2045-2322 |
| Relation: | https://doaj.org/toc/2045-2322 |
| DOI: | 10.1038/s41598-022-08384-w |
| URL الوصول: | https://doaj.org/article/6555cf3ed5ca46babce1dc63e4ab6074 |
| رقم الانضمام: | edsdoj.6555cf3ed5ca46babce1dc63e4ab6074 |
| قاعدة البيانات: | Directory of Open Access Journals |
Full Text Finder | تدمد: | 20452322 |
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| DOI: | 10.1038/s41598-022-08384-w |