Academic Journal
Five challenges for stochastic epidemic models involving global transmission
| العنوان: | Five challenges for stochastic epidemic models involving global transmission |
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| المؤلفون: | Tom Britton, Thomas House, Alun L. Lloyd, Denis Mollison, Steven Riley, Pieter Trapman |
| المصدر: | Epidemics, Vol 10, Iss C, Pp 54-57 (2015) |
| بيانات النشر: | Elsevier, 2015. |
| سنة النشر: | 2015 |
| المجموعة: | LCC:Infectious and parasitic diseases |
| مصطلحات موضوعية: | Stochastic epidemics, Global transmission, Extinction, Genetic evolution, Endemicity, Infectious and parasitic diseases, RC109-216 |
| الوصف: | The most basic stochastic epidemic models are those involving global transmission, meaning that infection rates depend only on the type and state of the individuals involved, and not on their location in the population. Simple as they are, there are still several open problems for such models. For example, when will such an epidemic go extinct and with what probability (questions depending on the population being fixed, changing or growing)? How can a model be defined explaining the sometimes observed scenario of frequent mid-sized epidemic outbreaks? How can evolution of the infectious agent transmission rates be modelled and fitted to data in a robust way? |
| نوع الوثيقة: | article |
| وصف الملف: | electronic resource |
| اللغة: | English |
| تدمد: | 1755-4365 1878-0067 |
| Relation: | http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1755436514000280; https://doaj.org/toc/1755-4365; https://doaj.org/toc/1878-0067 |
| DOI: | 10.1016/j.epidem.2014.05.002 |
| URL الوصول: | https://doaj.org/article/60d06dfbba384f42b9c8647f04ad6cc2 |
| رقم الانضمام: | edsdoj.60d06dfbba384f42b9c8647f04ad6cc2 |
| قاعدة البيانات: | Directory of Open Access Journals |
Full Text Finder | تدمد: | 17554365 18780067 |
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| DOI: | 10.1016/j.epidem.2014.05.002 |