Academic Journal
Summertime precipitation extremes in a EURO-CORDEX 0.11° ensemble at an hourly resolution
| العنوان: | Summertime precipitation extremes in a EURO-CORDEX 0.11° ensemble at an hourly resolution |
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| المؤلفون: | P. Berg, O. B. Christensen, K. Klehmet, G. Lenderink, J. Olsson, C. Teichmann, W. Yang |
| المصدر: | Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, Vol 19, Pp 957-971 (2019) |
| بيانات النشر: | Copernicus Publications, 2019. |
| سنة النشر: | 2019 |
| المجموعة: | LCC:Environmental technology. Sanitary engineering LCC:Geography. Anthropology. Recreation LCC:Environmental sciences LCC:Geology |
| مصطلحات موضوعية: | Environmental technology. Sanitary engineering, TD1-1066, Geography. Anthropology. Recreation, Environmental sciences, GE1-350, Geology, QE1-996.5 |
| الوصف: | Regional climate model simulations have routinely been applied to assess changes in precipitation extremes at daily time steps. However, shorter sub-daily extremes have not received as much attention. This is likely because of the limited availability of high temporal resolution data, both for observations and for model outputs. Here, summertime depth duration frequencies of a subset of the EURO-CORDEX 0.11∘ ensemble are evaluated with observations for several European countries for durations of 1 to 12 h. Most of the model simulations strongly underestimate 10-year depths for durations up to a few hours but perform better at longer durations. The spatial patterns over Germany are reproduced at least partly at a 12 h duration, but all models fail at shorter durations. Projected changes are assessed by relating relative depth changes to mean temperature changes. A strong relationship with temperature is found across different subregions of Europe, emission scenarios and future time periods. However, the scaling varies considerably between different combinations of global and regional climate models, with a spread in scaling of around 1–10 % K−1 at a 12 h duration and generally higher values at shorter durations. |
| نوع الوثيقة: | article |
| وصف الملف: | electronic resource |
| اللغة: | English |
| تدمد: | 1561-8633 1684-9981 |
| Relation: | https://www.nat-hazards-earth-syst-sci.net/19/957/2019/nhess-19-957-2019.pdf; https://doaj.org/toc/1561-8633; https://doaj.org/toc/1684-9981 |
| DOI: | 10.5194/nhess-19-957-2019 |
| URL الوصول: | https://doaj.org/article/5c24b7f7bc48452195cd6091d5bfabd6 |
| رقم الانضمام: | edsdoj.5c24b7f7bc48452195cd6091d5bfabd6 |
| قاعدة البيانات: | Directory of Open Access Journals |
Full Text Finder | تدمد: | 15618633 16849981 |
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| DOI: | 10.5194/nhess-19-957-2019 |