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Early detection of ecosystem regime shifts: a multiple method evaluation for management application.

التفاصيل البيبلوغرافية
العنوان: Early detection of ecosystem regime shifts: a multiple method evaluation for management application.
المؤلفون: Martin Lindegren, Vasilis Dakos, Joachim P Gröger, Anna Gårdmark, Georgs Kornilovs, Saskia A Otto, Christian Möllmann
المصدر: PLoS ONE, Vol 7, Iss 7, p e38410 (2012)
بيانات النشر: Public Library of Science (PLoS), 2012.
سنة النشر: 2012
المجموعة: LCC:Medicine
LCC:Science
مصطلحات موضوعية: Medicine, Science
الوصف: Critical transitions between alternative stable states have been shown to occur across an array of complex systems. While our ability to identify abrupt regime shifts in natural ecosystems has improved, detection of potential early-warning signals previous to such shifts is still very limited. Using real monitoring data of a key ecosystem component, we here apply multiple early-warning indicators in order to assess their ability to forewarn a major ecosystem regime shift in the Central Baltic Sea. We show that some indicators and methods can result in clear early-warning signals, while other methods may have limited utility in ecosystem-based management as they show no or weak potential for early-warning. We therefore propose a multiple method approach for early detection of ecosystem regime shifts in monitoring data that may be useful in informing timely management actions in the face of ecosystem change.
نوع الوثيقة: article
وصف الملف: electronic resource
اللغة: English
تدمد: 1932-6203
Relation: http://europepmc.org/articles/PMC3393716?pdf=render; https://doaj.org/toc/1932-6203
DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0038410
URL الوصول: https://doaj.org/article/57b027cef42c49f4b217641e4517d890
رقم الانضمام: edsdoj.57b027cef42c49f4b217641e4517d890
قاعدة البيانات: Directory of Open Access Journals
الوصف
تدمد:19326203
DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0038410