Academic Journal

Identification of an Unknown Stationary Emission Source in Urban Geometry Using Bayesian Inference

التفاصيل البيبلوغرافية
العنوان: Identification of an Unknown Stationary Emission Source in Urban Geometry Using Bayesian Inference
المؤلفون: Panagiotis Gkirmpas, George Tsegas, Giannis Ioannidis, Christos Vlachokostas, Nicolas Moussiopoulos
المصدر: Atmosphere, Vol 15, Iss 8, p 871 (2024)
بيانات النشر: MDPI AG, 2024.
سنة النشر: 2024
المجموعة: LCC:Meteorology. Climatology
مصطلحات موضوعية: source term estimation, Bayesian inference, computational fluid dynamics, adjoint equations, hazardous material release, pollutant dispersion, Meteorology. Climatology, QC851-999
الوصف: Estimating the parameters of an unidentified toxic pollutant source is crucial for public safety, especially in densely populated urban areas. Implementing source term estimation methods in real-world urban environments is challenging due to complex phenomena and the absence of concentration observational data. This work combines a computational fluid dynamics numerical simulation with the Metropolis–Hastings MCMC algorithm to identify the location and quantify the release rate of an unknown source within the geometry of Augsburg city center. To address the lack of concentration measurements, synthetic observations are generated by a forward dispersion model. The methodology is tested using these datasets, both as directly calculated by the forward model and with added Gaussian noise under different source release and wind flow scenarios. The results indicate that in most cases, both the source location and the release rate are estimated accurately. Although a higher performance is achieved using synthetic datasets without additional noise, high accuracy predictions are also obtained in many applications of noisy measurement datasets. In general, the outcomes demonstrate that the presented methodology can be a useful tool for estimating unknown source parameters in real-world urban applications.
نوع الوثيقة: article
وصف الملف: electronic resource
اللغة: English
تدمد: 2073-4433
Relation: https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/15/8/871; https://doaj.org/toc/2073-4433
DOI: 10.3390/atmos15080871
URL الوصول: https://doaj.org/article/38502a1ebaca4dd3b5ebc26e5caadf3a
رقم الانضمام: edsdoj.38502a1ebaca4dd3b5ebc26e5caadf3a
قاعدة البيانات: Directory of Open Access Journals
الوصف
تدمد:20734433
DOI:10.3390/atmos15080871