Academic Journal
Real-time probabilistic seismic hazard assessment based on seismicity anomaly
| العنوان: | Real-time probabilistic seismic hazard assessment based on seismicity anomaly |
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| المؤلفون: | Y.-S. Sun, H.-C. Li, L.-Y. Chang, Z.-K. Ye, C.-C. Chen |
| المصدر: | Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, Vol 20, Pp 743-753 (2020) |
| بيانات النشر: | Copernicus Publications, 2020. |
| سنة النشر: | 2020 |
| المجموعة: | LCC:Environmental technology. Sanitary engineering LCC:Geography. Anthropology. Recreation LCC:Environmental sciences LCC:Geology |
| مصطلحات موضوعية: | Environmental technology. Sanitary engineering, TD1-1066, Geography. Anthropology. Recreation, Environmental sciences, GE1-350, Geology, QE1-996.5 |
| الوصف: | Real-time probabilistic seismic hazard assessment (PSHA) was developed in this study in consideration of its practicability for daily life and the rate of seismic activity with time. Real-time PSHA follows the traditional PSHA framework, but the statistic occurrence rate is substituted by time-dependent seismic source probability. Over the last decade, the pattern informatics (PI) method has been developed as a time-dependent probability model of seismic source. We employed this method as a function of time-dependent seismic source probability, and we selected two major earthquakes in Taiwan as examples to explore real-time PSHA. These are the Meinong earthquake (ML 6.6) of 5 February 2016 and the Hualien earthquake (ML 6.2) of 6 February 2018. The seismic intensity maps produced by the real-time PSHA method facilitated the forecast of the maximum expected seismic intensity for the following 90 d. Compared with real ground motion data from the P-alert network, our seismic intensity forecasting maps showed considerable effectiveness. This result indicated that real-time PSHA is practicable and provides useful information that could be employed in the prevention of earthquake disasters. |
| نوع الوثيقة: | article |
| وصف الملف: | electronic resource |
| اللغة: | English |
| تدمد: | 1561-8633 1684-9981 |
| Relation: | https://www.nat-hazards-earth-syst-sci.net/20/743/2020/nhess-20-743-2020.pdf; https://doaj.org/toc/1561-8633; https://doaj.org/toc/1684-9981 |
| DOI: | 10.5194/nhess-20-743-2020 |
| URL الوصول: | https://doaj.org/article/e2f45bdf840047598f8d539f6d980920 |
| رقم الانضمام: | edsdoj.2f45bdf840047598f8d539f6d980920 |
| قاعدة البيانات: | Directory of Open Access Journals |
Full Text Finder | تدمد: | 15618633 16849981 |
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| DOI: | 10.5194/nhess-20-743-2020 |