Academic Journal
Estimating Brazilian states’ demands for intensive care unit and clinical hospital beds during the COVID-19 pandemic: development of a predictive model
| العنوان: | Estimating Brazilian states’ demands for intensive care unit and clinical hospital beds during the COVID-19 pandemic: development of a predictive model |
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| المؤلفون: | João Flávio de Freitas Almeida, Samuel Vieira Conceição, Luiz Ricardo Pinto, Cláudia Júlia Guimarães Horta, Virgínia Silva Magalhães, Francisco Carlos Cardoso de Campos |
| المصدر: | São Paulo Medical Journal, Vol 139, Iss 2, Pp 178-185 (2021) |
| بيانات النشر: | Associação Paulista de Medicina, 2021. |
| سنة النشر: | 2021 |
| المجموعة: | LCC:Medicine |
| مصطلحات موضوعية: | Public health administration, Bed occupancy, Coronavirus infections, Pandemics, Hospital bed capacity, Public health planning, Population dynamics, COVID-19 pandemic, COVID-19 virus disease, Compartmental model, Medicine |
| الوصف: | ABSTRACT BACKGROUND: The fragility of healthcare systems worldwide had not been exposed by any pandemic until now. The lack of integrated methods for bed capacity planning compromises the effectiveness of public and private hospitals’ services. OBJECTIVES: To estimate the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the provision of intensive care unit and clinical beds for Brazilian states, using an integrated model. DESIGN AND SETTING: Experimental study applying healthcare informatics to data on COVID-19 cases from the official electronic platform of the Brazilian Ministry of Health. METHODS: A predictive model based on the historical records of Brazilian states was developed to estimate the need for hospital beds during the COVID-19 pandemic. RESULTS: The proposed model projected in advance that there was a lack of 22,771 hospital beds for Brazilian states, of which 38.95% were ICU beds, and 61.05% were clinical beds. CONCLUSIONS: The proposed approach provides valuable information to help hospital managers anticipate actions for improving healthcare system capacity. |
| نوع الوثيقة: | article |
| وصف الملف: | electronic resource |
| اللغة: | English |
| تدمد: | 1806-9460 1516-3180 |
| Relation: | http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S1516-31802021000200178&tlng=en; https://doaj.org/toc/1806-9460 |
| DOI: | 10.1590/1516-3180.2020.0517.r1.0212020 |
| URL الوصول: | https://doaj.org/article/019b9448265b4c55a92cf1165417fd56 |
| رقم الانضمام: | edsdoj.019b9448265b4c55a92cf1165417fd56 |
| قاعدة البيانات: | Directory of Open Access Journals |
Full Text Finder | تدمد: | 18069460 15163180 |
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| DOI: | 10.1590/1516-3180.2020.0517.r1.0212020 |