Academic Journal
Projected near-term changes in monsoon precipitation over Peninsular Malaysia in the HighResMIP multi-model ensembles
| العنوان: | Projected near-term changes in monsoon precipitation over Peninsular Malaysia in the HighResMIP multi-model ensembles |
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| المؤلفون: | Liang, J, Tan, ML, Catto, JL, Hawcroft, MK, Hodges, KI, Haywood, JM |
| بيانات النشر: | Springer |
| سنة النشر: | 2022 |
| المجموعة: | University of Exeter: Open Research Exeter (ORE) |
| الوصف: | This is the final version. Available on open access from Springer via the DOI in this record ; Data availability: The used CMIP6 HighResMIP data are downloaded from the data node website of the Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (https://esgf-node.llnl.gov/projects/cmip6/). The APHRODITE data is downloaded from its official website managed by the Research Institute for Humanity and Nature (http://aphrodite.st.hirosaki-u.ac.jp). The CHIRPS rainfall estimates from rain gauge and satellite observations are downloaded from its official website managed by the University of California, Santa Barbara (https://chc.ucsb.edu/data/chirps). The data generated and analyzed during the current study are available from the corresponding author on reasonable request. ; Changes in the monsoon season rainfall over Peninsular Malaysia by the mid-21st century are examined using multi-model ensemble data from the CMIP6 HighResMIP experiments. We examine simulations of the present and future climate simulations run under a high emission scenario of greenhouse gases from the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP5-8.5). The combined effects of horizontal and vertical resolutions on the projected changes in monsoon rainfall and associated environmental fields are investigated by comparing the ensemble mean of the projected changes utilizing appropriate multi-model groupings. The results indicate a projected decrease (by up to 11% near Mersing of eastern Johor, for the period 2031–2050 relative to 1981–2000) in monsoon precipitation along the southeastern coast of Peninsular Malaysia during the northeast monsoon season associated with the projected weakening of the monsoon flow during boreal winter. For the northwestern regions (e.g. Perak) often affected by severe floods, a significant increase in precipitation (by up to 33%) is projected during the southwest monsoon season, partly driven by the projected strengthening of the cross-equatorial flow and the weakened low-level anti-cyclonic shear of winds in boreal summer. However, the ... |
| نوع الوثيقة: | article in journal/newspaper |
| وصف الملف: | 1-21 |
| اللغة: | English |
| تدمد: | 0930-7575 1432-0894 |
| Relation: | https://esgf-node.llnl.gov/projects/cmip6/; http://aphrodite.st.hirosaki-u.ac.jp; https://chc.ucsb.edu/data/chirps; Climate Dynamics; orcid:0000-0002-2143-6634 (Haywood, James M); ScopusID: 7102805852 (Haywood, James M); Published online 25 June 2022; https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-022-06363-5; NE/S002707/1; NEWTON/1/2018/SS07/USM//1; 203.PHUMANITI.6780001; http://hdl.handle.net/10871/130374 |
| DOI: | 10.1007/s00382-022-06363-5 |
| الاتاحة: | http://hdl.handle.net/10871/130374 https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-022-06363-5 |
| Rights: | © The Author(s) 2022. Open Access. This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article's Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article's Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ ; https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ |
| رقم الانضمام: | edsbas.FFD59350 |
| قاعدة البيانات: | BASE |
| تدمد: | 09307575 14320894 |
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| DOI: | 10.1007/s00382-022-06363-5 |