Academic Journal

Depth–Duration–Frequency Relationship Model of Extreme Precipitation in Flood Risk Assessment in the Upper Vistula Basin

التفاصيل البيبلوغرافية
العنوان: Depth–Duration–Frequency Relationship Model of Extreme Precipitation in Flood Risk Assessment in the Upper Vistula Basin
المؤلفون: Iwona Markiewicz
المصدر: Water; Volume 13; Issue 23; Pages: 3439
بيانات النشر: Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute
سنة النشر: 2021
المجموعة: MDPI Open Access Publishing
مصطلحات موضوعية: rainfall, stationarity, intensity–duration–frequency curves, extreme value distributions, quantiles
جغرافية الموضوع: agris
الوصف: The Upper Vistula Basin is a flood-prone region in the summer season (May–October) due to intensive rainfall. From the point of view of water management, it is particularly important to assess the variability in this main factor of flood risk, as well as to establish the depth–duration–frequency (DDF) relationship for maximum precipitation, this having not yet been derived for the region. The analysis of a 68-year (1951–2018) data series of summer maximum precipitation collected by 11 meteorological stations showed the series’ stationarity, which supports the conclusion that there is no increase in the risk of rainfall floods due to the intensification of extreme precipitation. A new approach is proposed for the determination of the DDF relationship, where the best-fitted distribution for each station is selected from among the set of candidate distributions, instead of adopting one fixed distribution for all stations. This approach increases the accuracy of the DDF relationships for individual stations as compared to the commonly used approach. In particular, the traditionally used Gumbel distribution turns out to be not well fitted to the investigated data series, and the advantage of the recently popular GEV distribution is not significant.
نوع الوثيقة: text
وصف الملف: application/pdf
اللغة: English
Relation: Hydrology; https://dx.doi.org/10.3390/w13233439
DOI: 10.3390/w13233439
الاتاحة: https://doi.org/10.3390/w13233439
Rights: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
رقم الانضمام: edsbas.F0D4B78E
قاعدة البيانات: BASE