Academic Journal
Black swans, power laws, and dragon-kings: Earthquakes, volcanic eruptions, landslides, wildfires, floods, and SOC models
| العنوان: | Black swans, power laws, and dragon-kings: Earthquakes, volcanic eruptions, landslides, wildfires, floods, and SOC models |
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| المؤلفون: | Sachs, M. K., Yoder, M. R., Turcotte, D. L., Rundle, J. B., Malamud, B. D. |
| المصدر: | Sachs , M K , Yoder , M R , Turcotte , D L , Rundle , J B & Malamud , B D 2012 , ' Black swans, power laws, and dragon-kings: Earthquakes, volcanic eruptions, landslides, wildfires, floods, and SOC models ' , European physical journal-Special topics , vol. 205 , no. 1 , pp. 167-182 . https://doi.org/10.1140/epjst/e2012-01569-3 |
| سنة النشر: | 2012 |
| المجموعة: | King's College, London: Research Portal |
| الوصف: | Extreme events that change global society have been characterized as black swans. The frequency-size distributions of many natural phenomena are often well approximated by power-law (fractal) distributions. An important question is whether the probability of extreme events can be estimated by extrapolating the power-law distributions. Events that exceed these extrapolations have been characterized as dragon-kings. In this paper we consider extreme events for earthquakes, volcanic eruptions, wildfires, landslides and floods. We also consider the extreme event behavior of three models that exhibit self-organized criticality (SOC): the slider-block, forest-fire, and sand-pile models. Since extrapolations using power-laws are widely used in probabilistic hazard assessment, the occurrence of dragon-king events have important practical implications. |
| نوع الوثيقة: | article in journal/newspaper |
| اللغة: | English |
| DOI: | 10.1140/epjst/e2012-01569-3 |
| الاتاحة: | https://kclpure.kcl.ac.uk/portal/en/publications/b9855c3f-b319-4c87-9244-64381324889c https://doi.org/10.1140/epjst/e2012-01569-3 |
| Rights: | info:eu-repo/semantics/restrictedAccess |
| رقم الانضمام: | edsbas.DBCA5C38 |
| قاعدة البيانات: | BASE |
| DOI: | 10.1140/epjst/e2012-01569-3 |
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