Academic Journal
Nonlinear exposure-response associations of daytime, nighttime, and day-night compound heatwaves with mortality amid climate change
العنوان: | Nonlinear exposure-response associations of daytime, nighttime, and day-night compound heatwaves with mortality amid climate change |
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المؤلفون: | Liu, Jiangdong, Kim, Ho, Hashizume, Masahiro, Lee, Whanhee, Honda, Yasushi, Kim, Satbyul Estella, He, Cheng, Kan, Haidong, Chen, Renjie |
المصدر: | Nature Communications ; volume 16, issue 1 ; ISSN 2041-1723 |
بيانات النشر: | Springer Science and Business Media LLC |
سنة النشر: | 2025 |
الوصف: | Heatwaves are commonly simplified as binary variables in epidemiological studies, limiting the understanding of heatwave-mortality associations. Here we conduct a multi-country study across 28 East Asian cities that employed the Cumulative Excess Heatwave Index (CEHWI), which represents excess heat accumulation during heatwaves, to explore the potentially nonlinear associations of daytime-only, nighttime-only, and day-night compound heatwaves with mortality from 1981 to 2010. Populations exhibited high adaptability to daytime-only and nighttime-only heatwaves, with non-accidental mortality risks increasing only at higher CEHWI levels (75th–90th percentiles). In contrast, compound heatwaves posed a super-linear increase in mortality risks after the 25th percentile of CEHWI. Associations of heatwaves with cardiovascular mortality mirrored those with non-accidental mortality but were more pronounced at higher CEHWI levels, while significant associations with respiratory mortality emerged at low-to-moderate CEHWI levels. These results highlight the necessity of considering the nonlinear health responses to heatwaves of different types in disease burden assessments and heatwave-health warning systems amid climate change. |
نوع الوثيقة: | article in journal/newspaper |
اللغة: | English |
DOI: | 10.1038/s41467-025-56067-7 |
الاتاحة: | https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-025-56067-7 https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-025-56067-7.pdf https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-025-56067-7 |
Rights: | https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0 ; https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0 |
رقم الانضمام: | edsbas.C7B70B1B |
قاعدة البيانات: | BASE |
DOI: | 10.1038/s41467-025-56067-7 |
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