Academic Journal
Heterogeneity in regional notification patterns and its impact on aggregate national case notification data: the example of measles in Italy
العنوان: | Heterogeneity in regional notification patterns and its impact on aggregate national case notification data: the example of measles in Italy |
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المؤلفون: | Williams, JR, Manfredi, P, Butler, AR, Degli Atti, MC, Salmaso, S |
بيانات النشر: | BioMed Central |
سنة النشر: | 2003 |
المجموعة: | Imperial College London: Spiral |
مصطلحات موضوعية: | Science & Technology, Life Sciences & Biomedicine, Public, Environmental & Occupational Health, SCI, ENGLAND, WALES, EPIDEMIOLOGY, SURVEILLANCE, VACCINATION, Algorithms, Bias (Epidemiology), Birth Rate, Demography, Disease Notification, Geography, Humans, Immunization Programs, Italy, Life Tables, Measles, Models, Statistical, Time Factors, 1117 Public Health And Health Services, Public Health |
الوصف: | Background: A monthly time series of measles case notifications exists for Italy from 1949 onwards, although its usefulness is seriously undermined by extensive under-reporting which varies strikingly between regions, giving rise to the possibility of significant distortions in epidemic patterns seen in aggregated national data. Results: A corrected national time series is calculated using an algorithm based upon the approximate equality between births and measles cases; under-reporting estimates are presented for each Italian region, and poor levels of reporting in Southern Italy are confirmed. Conclusion: Although an order of magnitude larger, despite great heterogeneity between regions in under-reporting and in epidemic patterns, the shape of the corrected national time series remains close to that of the aggregated uncorrected data. This suggests such aggregate data may be quite robust to great heterogeneity in reporting and epidemic patterns at the regional level. The corrected data set maintains an epidemic pattern distinct from that of England and Wales. |
نوع الوثيقة: | article in journal/newspaper |
اللغة: | English |
تدمد: | 1471-2458 |
Relation: | BMC Public Health; http://hdl.handle.net/10044/1/49264; https://dx.doi.org/10.1186/1471-2458-3-23 |
DOI: | 10.1186/1471-2458-3-23 |
الاتاحة: | http://hdl.handle.net/10044/1/49264 https://doi.org/10.1186/1471-2458-3-23 |
Rights: | © 2003 Williams et al; licensee BioMed Central Ltd. This article is published under license to BioMed Central Ltd. This is an Open Access article: verbatim copying and redistribution of this article are permitted in all media for any purpose, provided this notice is preserved along with the article's original URL. |
رقم الانضمام: | edsbas.C3AB18CD |
قاعدة البيانات: | BASE |
تدمد: | 14712458 |
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DOI: | 10.1186/1471-2458-3-23 |