التفاصيل البيبلوغرافية
| العنوان: |
Spatio-Temporal Epidemiology of the Spread of African Swine Fever in Wild Boar and the Role of Environmental Factors in South Korea |
| المؤلفون: |
Satoshi Ito, Jaime Bosch, Hyunkyu Jeong, Cecilia Aguilar-Vega, Jonghoon Park, Marta Martínez-Avilés, Jose Manuel Sánchez-Vizcaíno |
| المصدر: |
Viruses; Volume 14; Issue 12; Pages: 2779 |
| بيانات النشر: |
Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute |
| سنة النشر: |
2022 |
| المجموعة: |
MDPI Open Access Publishing |
| مصطلحات موضوعية: |
African swine fever, spatio-temporal epidemiology, wild boar, basic reproduction number (R 0 ), Asia, South Korea, regression model, environmental factor |
| جغرافية الموضوع: |
agris |
| الوصف: |
Since the first confirmation of African swine fever (ASF) in domestic pig farms in South Korea in September 2019, ASF continues to expand and most notifications have been reported in wild boar populations. In this study, we first performed a spatio-temporal cluster analysis to understand ASF spread in wild boar. Secondly, generalized linear logistic regression (GLLR) model analysis was performed to identify environmental factors contributing to cluster formation. In the meantime, the basic reproduction number (R0) for each cluster was estimated to understand the growth of the epidemic. The cluster analysis resulted in the detection of 17 spatio-temporal clusters. The GLLR model analysis identified factors influencing cluster formation and indicated the possibility of estimating ASF epidemic areas based on environmental conditions. In a scenario only considering direct transmission among wild boar, R0 ranged from 1.01 to 1.5 with an average of 1.10, while, in another scenario including indirect transmission via an infected carcass, R0 ranged from 1.03 to 4.38 with an average of 1.56. We identified factors influencing ASF expansion based on spatio-temporal clusters. The results obtained would be useful for selecting priority areas for ASF control and would greatly assist in identifying efficient vaccination areas in the future. |
| نوع الوثيقة: |
text |
| وصف الملف: |
application/pdf |
| اللغة: |
English |
| Relation: |
General Virology; https://dx.doi.org/10.3390/v14122779 |
| DOI: |
10.3390/v14122779 |
| الاتاحة: |
https://doi.org/10.3390/v14122779 |
| Rights: |
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ |
| رقم الانضمام: |
edsbas.AF6244DB |
| قاعدة البيانات: |
BASE |