Academic Journal
The Zero Emissions Commitment and climate stabilization
| العنوان: | The Zero Emissions Commitment and climate stabilization |
|---|---|
| المؤلفون: | Corner, SP, Siegert, M, Ceppi, P, Fox-Kemper, B, Frölicher, TL, Gallego-Sala, A, Haigh, J, Hegerl, GC, Jones, CD, Knutti, R, Koven, CD, MacDougall, AH, Meinshausen, M, Nicholls, Z, Sallée, JB, Sanderson, BM, Séférian, R, Turetsky, M, Williams, RG, Zaehle, S, Rogelj, J |
| بيانات النشر: | Frontiers |
| سنة النشر: | 2023 |
| المجموعة: | University of Exeter: Open Research Exeter (ORE) |
| مصطلحات موضوعية: | Zero Emissions Commitment, ZEC, net zero, warming in the pipeline, locked in warming, climate neutrality, climate stabilization, uncertainty |
| الوصف: | This is the final version. Available on open access from Frontiers Media via the DOI in this record ; Data availability statement: The original contributions presented in the study are included in the article/Supplementary Material. Further inquiries can be directed to the corresponding authors. ; How do we halt global warming? Reaching net zero carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions is understood to be a key milestone on the path to a safer planet. But how confident are we that when we stop carbon emissions, we also stop global warming? The Zero Emissions Commitment (ZEC) quantifies how much warming or cooling we can expect following a complete cessation of anthropogenic CO2 emissions. To date, the best estimate by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Sixth Assessment Report is zero change, though with substantial uncertainty. In this article, we present an overview of the changes expected in major Earth system processes after net zero and their potential impact on global surface temperature, providing an outlook toward building a more confident assessment of ZEC in the decades to come. We propose a structure to guide research into ZEC and associated changes in the climate, separating the impacts expected over decades, centuries, and millennia. As we look ahead at the century billed to mark the end of net anthropogenic CO2 emissions, we ask: what is the prospect of a stable climate in a post-net zero world? |
| نوع الوثيقة: | article in journal/newspaper |
| وصف الملف: | 1170744- |
| اللغة: | English |
| تدمد: | 2166-6083 2813-6330 |
| Relation: | Frontiers in Science, 1; orcid:0000-0002-0090-4806 (Siegert, Martin); ScopusID: 7004861061 (Siegert, Martin); ResearcherID: A-3826-2008 %7C M-9939-2019 (Siegert, Martin); orcid:0000-0002-7483-7773 (Gallego-Sala, Angela); Vol. 1, article 1170744; https://doi.org/10.3389/fsci.2023.1170744; http://hdl.handle.net/10871/134927; Frontiers in Science |
| DOI: | 10.3389/fsci.2023.1170744 |
| الاتاحة: | http://hdl.handle.net/10871/134927 https://doi.org/10.3389/fsci.2023.1170744 |
| Rights: | © 2023 Palazzo Corner, Siegert, Ceppi, Fox-Kemper, Frölicher, Gallego-Sala, Haigh, Hegerl, Jones, Knutti, Koven, MacDougall, Meinshausen, Nicholls, Sallée, Sanderson, Séférian, Turetsky, Williams, Zaehle and Rogelj. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) and the copyright owner(s) are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms. ; http://www.rioxx.net/licenses/all-rights-reserved |
| رقم الانضمام: | edsbas.995E242E |
| قاعدة البيانات: | BASE |
| تدمد: | 21666083 28136330 |
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| DOI: | 10.3389/fsci.2023.1170744 |