Academic Journal
Predicting field-goal success according to offensive, defensive and contextual variables in elite men’s wheelchair basketball
| العنوان: | Predicting field-goal success according to offensive, defensive and contextual variables in elite men’s wheelchair basketball |
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| المؤلفون: | Francis, John W., Owen, Alun J., Peters, Derek M. |
| المساهمون: | Sampaio, Jaime, University of Worcester and British Wheelchair Basketball |
| المصدر: | PLOS ONE ; volume 16, issue 1, page e0244257 ; ISSN 1932-6203 |
| بيانات النشر: | Public Library of Science (PLoS) |
| سنة النشر: | 2021 |
| المجموعة: | PLOS Publications (via CrossRef) |
| الوصف: | The purposes of this study were to (i) develop a field-goal shooting performance analysis template and (ii) explore the impact of each identified variable upon the likely outcome of a field-goal attempt using binary logistic regression modelling in elite men’s wheelchair basketball. First, a field-goal shooting performance analysis template was developed that included 71 Action Variables (AV) grouped within 22 Categorical Predictor Variables (CPV) representing offensive, defensive and game context variables. Second, footage of all 5,105 field-goal attempts from 12 teams during the men’s 2016 Rio De Janeiro Paralympic Games wheelchair basketball competition were analysed using the template. Pearson’s chi-square analyses found that 18 of the CPV were significantly associated with field-goal attempt outcome (p < 0.05), with seven of them reaching moderate association (Cramer’s V: 0.1–0.3). Third, using 70% of the dataset (3,574 field-goal attempts), binary logistic regression analyses identified that five offensive variables (classification category of the player, the action leading up to the field-goal attempt, the time left on the clock, the location of the shot, and the movement of the player), two defensive variables (the pressure being exerted by the defence, and the number of defenders within a 1-meter radius) and 1 context variable (the finishing position of the team in the competition) affected the probability of a successful field-goal attempt. The quality of the developed model was determined acceptable (greater than 65%), producing an area under the curve value of 68.5% when the model was run against the remaining 30% of the dataset (1,531 field-goal attempts). The development of the model from such a large sample of objective data is unique. As such it offers robust empirical evidence to enable coaches, performance analysts and players to move beyond anecdote, in order to appreciate the potential effect of various and varying offensive, defensive and contextual variables on field-goal success. |
| نوع الوثيقة: | article in journal/newspaper |
| اللغة: | English |
| DOI: | 10.1371/journal.pone.0244257 |
| الاتاحة: | http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0244257 https://dx.plos.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0244257 |
| Rights: | http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ |
| رقم الانضمام: | edsbas.95A53230 |
| قاعدة البيانات: | BASE |
| DOI: | 10.1371/journal.pone.0244257 |
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