Academic Journal
Can we avert an Amazon tipping point? The economic and environmental costs
| العنوان: | Can we avert an Amazon tipping point? The economic and environmental costs |
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| المؤلفون: | Banerjee, Onil, Cicowiez, Martin, Macedo, Marcia N., Malek, Žiga, Verburg, Peter H., Goodwin, Sean, Vargas, Renato, Rattis, Ludmila, Bagstad, Kenneth J., Brando, Paulo M., Coe, Michael T., Neill, Christopher, Marti, Octavio Damiani, Murillo, Josué Ávila |
| المصدر: | Banerjee , O , Cicowiez , M , Macedo , M N , Malek , Ž , Verburg , P H , Goodwin , S , Vargas , R , Rattis , L , Bagstad , K J , Brando , P M , Coe , M T , Neill , C , Marti , O D & Murillo , J Á 2022 , ' Can we avert an Amazon tipping point? The economic and environmental costs ' , Environmental Research Letters , vol. 17 , no. 12 , 125005 , pp. 1-12 . https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aca3b8 |
| سنة النشر: | 2022 |
| مصطلحات موضوعية: | Amazon tipping point, climate change, computable general equilibrium model, ecosystem services, integrated economic-environmental modeling, land use land cover change, natural capital, /dk/atira/pure/sustainabledevelopmentgoals/life_on_land, name=SDG 15 - Life on Land, /dk/atira/pure/sustainabledevelopmentgoals/climate_action, name=SDG 13 - Climate Action |
| الوصف: | The Amazon biome is being pushed by unsustainable economic drivers towards an ecological tipping point where restoration to its previous state may no longer be possible. This degradation is the result of self-reinforcing interactions between deforestation, climate change and fire. We assess the economic, natural capital and ecosystem services impacts and trade-offs of scenarios representing movement towards an Amazon tipping point and strategies to avert one using the Integrated Economic-Environmental Modeling (IEEM) Platform linked with spatial land use-land cover change and ecosystem services modeling (IEEM + ESM). Our approach provides the first approximation of the economic, natural capital and ecosystem services impacts of a tipping point, and evidence to build the economic case for strategies to avert it. For the five Amazon focal countries, namely, Brazil, Peru, Colombia, Bolivia and Ecuador, we find that a tipping point would create economic losses of US$256.6 billion in cumulative gross domestic product by 2050. Policies that would contribute to averting a tipping point, including strongly reducing deforestation, investing in intensifying agriculture in cleared lands, climate-adapted agriculture and improving fire management, would generate approximately US$339.3 billion in additional wealth and a return on investment of US$29.5 billion. Quantifying the costs, benefits and trade-offs of policies to avert a tipping point in a transparent and replicable manner can support the design of regional development strategies for the Amazon biome, build the business case for action and catalyze global cooperation and financing to enable policy implementation. |
| نوع الوثيقة: | article in journal/newspaper |
| وصف الملف: | application/pdf |
| اللغة: | English |
| DOI: | 10.1088/1748-9326/aca3b8 |
| الاتاحة: | https://research.vu.nl/en/publications/949d3af3-f463-40cc-90ab-1f9ff3060125 https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aca3b8 https://hdl.handle.net/1871.1/949d3af3-f463-40cc-90ab-1f9ff3060125 https://research.vu.nl/ws/files/180801006/Banerjee_et_al_2022_Environ._Res._Lett._10.1088_1748_9326_aca3b8.pdf http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85143892808&partnerID=8YFLogxK http://www.scopus.com/inward/citedby.url?scp=85143892808&partnerID=8YFLogxK |
| Rights: | info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
| رقم الانضمام: | edsbas.9555962C |
| قاعدة البيانات: | BASE |
| DOI: | 10.1088/1748-9326/aca3b8 |
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