Academic Journal
Understanding the dynamic nature of risk in climate change assessments – a new starting point for discussion
| العنوان: | Understanding the dynamic nature of risk in climate change assessments – a new starting point for discussion |
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| المؤلفون: | Viner, David, Ekstrom, Marie, Hulbert, Margot, Warner, Nicolle K., Wreford, Anita, Zommers, Zinta |
| بيانات النشر: | Royal Meteorological Society |
| سنة النشر: | 2020 |
| المجموعة: | Cardiff University: ORCA (Online Research @ Cardiff) |
| الوصف: | This article sets out the current conceptualisation and description of risk used by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). It identifies limitations in capacity to reflect the dynamic nature of risk components, and the need for standardisation and refinement of methods used to quantify evolving risk patterns. Recent studies highlight the changing nature of hazards, exposure and vulnerability, the three components of risk, and demonstrate the need for coordinated guidance on strategies and methods that better reflect the dynamic nature of the components themselves, and their interaction. Here, we discuss limitations of a static risk framework and call for a way forward that will allow for a better understanding and description of risk. Such advancements in conceptualisation are needed to bring closer the understanding and description of risk in theory with how risk is quantified and communicated in practice. To stimulate discussion, this article proposes a formulation of risk that clearly recognises the temporally evolving nature of risk components. |
| نوع الوثيقة: | article in journal/newspaper |
| وصف الملف: | application/pdf |
| اللغة: | English |
| Relation: | https://orca.cardiff.ac.uk/id/eprint/129420/1/Viner_et_al-2020-Atmospheric_Science_Letters.pdf; Viner, David, Ekstrom, Marie orcid:0000-0001-9716-2337 orcid:0000-0001-9716-2337, Hulbert, Margot, Warner, Nicolle K., Wreford, Anita and Zommers, Zinta 2020. Understanding the dynamic nature of risk in climate change assessments – a new starting point for discussion. Atmospheric Science Letters 21 (4) , e958. 10.1002/asl.958 https://doi.org/10.1002/asl.958 file https://orca.cardiff.ac.uk/id/eprint/129420/1/Viner_et_al-2020-Atmospheric_Science_Letters.pdf |
| DOI: | 10.1002/asl.958 |
| الاتاحة: | https://orca.cardiff.ac.uk/id/eprint/129420/ https://doi.org/10.1002/asl.958 https://orca.cardiff.ac.uk/id/eprint/129420/1/Viner_et_al-2020-Atmospheric_Science_Letters.pdf |
| Rights: | cc_by |
| رقم الانضمام: | edsbas.869B189E |
| قاعدة البيانات: | BASE |
| DOI: | 10.1002/asl.958 |
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