Academic Journal
Use of logistic regression and GIS techniques in the analysis of forest cover dynamics in Mabote and Funhalouro, Inhambane, southern Mozambique ; Uso de regressão logística e técnicas de SIG na análise da dinâmica da cobertura florestal, na área de estudo, Inhambane, sul de Moçambique
| العنوان: | Use of logistic regression and GIS techniques in the analysis of forest cover dynamics in Mabote and Funhalouro, Inhambane, southern Mozambique ; Uso de regressão logística e técnicas de SIG na análise da dinâmica da cobertura florestal, na área de estudo, Inhambane, sul de Moçambique |
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| المؤلفون: | Macandza, Manuel Madeira |
| المصدر: | Sociedade & Natureza; Vol. 34 No. 1 (2022): ; Sociedade & Natureza; v. 34 n. 1 (2022): ; 1982-4513 ; 0103-1570 |
| بيانات النشر: | Universidade Federal de Uberlândia |
| سنة النشر: | 2022 |
| المجموعة: | Universidade Federal de Uberlândia (UFU): Sistema Eletrônico de Editoração de Revistas |
| مصطلحات موضوعية: | Regressão logística, Dinâmica da cobertura florestal, Política florestal, Logistic regression, Forest cover dynamics, Forest policy |
| الوصف: | This article seeks to use logistic regression and GIS techniques as a way to understand the influence of forest policy on the dynamics of forest cover in the study area. For this, we chose the following variables: Dynamics of forest cover as the dependent variable; precipitation, temperature, simple license, forest concession, volume of charcoal exploited, agricultural areas, villages, and population dynamics as independent variables. From the correlation, the variables that showed significance in the model are simple license, temperature, and volume of charcoal exploited. But the logistic regression model showed that the simple license and temperature variants are significantliy important for the model. This does not rule out the existence of other variables that may explain the phenomenon. Thus, the constructed logistic regression model points out that the simple license predictor is statistically more significant in explaining the variation in forest cover compared with temperature. Simple licensing is one of the modalities that forestry policy in Mozambique has adopted for forest licensing. And many of the operators prefer this type of forest license. Temperature inversely influences the dynamics of forest cover, causing water stress in plants. While the variable volume of coal explored, its influence is significantly smaller. ; O presente artigo procura usar a regressão logística e técnicas de SIG, como forma de compreender a influência da política florestal na dinâmica da cobertura florestal, na área de estudo. Para isso, escolhemos as seguintes variáveis: Dinâmica da cobertura florestal como a variável dependente; a precipitação, a temperatura, licenças simples, concessão florestal, volume de carvão vegetal explorado, áreas agrícolas, povoações e dinâmica da população como variáveis independentes. Da correlação, as variáveis que demonstraram ter significância no modelo são: licença simples, temperatura e volume do carvão vegetal explorado. Mas, o modelo de regressão logística mostrou que as variáveis ... |
| نوع الوثيقة: | article in journal/newspaper |
| وصف الملف: | application/pdf |
| اللغة: | Portuguese English |
| Relation: | https://seer.ufu.br/index.php/sociedadenatureza/article/view/64658/34726; https://seer.ufu.br/index.php/sociedadenatureza/article/view/64658/34727; https://seer.ufu.br/index.php/sociedadenatureza/article/view/64658 |
| DOI: | 10.14393/SN-v34-2022-64658 |
| الاتاحة: | https://seer.ufu.br/index.php/sociedadenatureza/article/view/64658 https://doi.org/10.14393/SN-v34-2022-64658 |
| Rights: | Copyright (c) 2021 Manuel Madeira Macandza ; https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0 |
| رقم الانضمام: | edsbas.6F6A852F |
| قاعدة البيانات: | BASE |
| DOI: | 10.14393/SN-v34-2022-64658 |
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