Academic Journal
Impact assessment of climate change on farming systems in the South Mediterranean area: a Tunisian case study
| العنوان: | Impact assessment of climate change on farming systems in the South Mediterranean area: a Tunisian case study |
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| المؤلفون: | Souissi, Imen, Boisson, Jean-Marie, Mekki, Insaf, Therond, Olivier, Flichman, Guillermo, Wéry, Jacques, Belhouchette, Hatem |
| المساهمون: | Centre International de Hautes Etudes Agronomiques Méditerranéennes - Institut Agronomique Méditerranéen de Montpellier (CIHEAM-IAMM), Centre International de Hautes Études Agronomiques Méditerranéennes (CIHEAM), Laboratoire Montpelliérain d'Économie Théorique et Appliquée (LAMETA), Université Montpellier 1 (UM1)-Université Paul-Valéry - Montpellier 3 (UPVM)-Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique (INRA)-Centre international d'études supérieures en sciences agronomiques (Montpellier SupAgro)-Université de Montpellier (UM)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Institut national d’études supérieures agronomiques de Montpellier (Montpellier SupAgro), Université Montpellier 1 (UM1), Institut National de Recherche en Génie Rural Eaux et Forêts (INRGREF), Ecole Nationale du Génie Rural, des Eaux et des Forêts (ENGREF)-Institution de la Recherche et de l'Enseignement Supérieur Agricoles Tunis (IRESA), Laboratoire Agronomie et Environnement - Antenne Colmar (LAE-Colmar ), Laboratoire Agronomie et Environnement (LAE), Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique (INRA)-Université de Lorraine (UL)-Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique (INRA)-Université de Lorraine (UL), AGroécologie, Innovations, teRritoires (AGIR), Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique (INRA)-Institut National Polytechnique (Toulouse) (Toulouse INP), Université de Toulouse (UT)-Université de Toulouse (UT), Fonctionnement et conduite des systèmes de culture tropicaux et méditerranéens (UMR SYSTEM), Centre de Coopération Internationale en Recherche Agronomique pour le Développement (Cirad)-Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique (INRA)-Centre international d'études supérieures en sciences agronomiques (Montpellier SupAgro)-Centre International de Hautes Etudes Agronomiques Méditerranéennes - Institut Agronomique Méditerranéen de Montpellier (CIHEAM-IAMM), Centre International de Hautes Études Agronomiques Méditerranéennes (CIHEAM)-Centre International de Hautes Études Agronomiques Méditerranéennes (CIHEAM)-Institut national d’études supérieures agronomiques de Montpellier (Montpellier SupAgro), Institut national d’études supérieures agronomiques de Montpellier (Montpellier SupAgro) |
| المصدر: | ISSN: 1436-3798. |
| بيانات النشر: | HAL CCSD Springer Verlag |
| سنة النشر: | 2018 |
| المجموعة: | Université Toulouse III - Paul Sabatier: HAL-UPS |
| مصطلحات موضوعية: | ADAPTATION TO CHANGE, AGRICULTURAL INCOME, MANPOWER, FARMS, QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS, SIMULATION MODELS, TUNISIA, CROPPING SYSTEMS, INDICATORS CLIMATIC CHANGE, FARMLAND, SYSTEME DE CULTURE, RESILIENCE, MODELE DE SIMULATION, REVENU AGRICOLE, EXPLOITATION AGRICOLE, MAIN D'OEUVRE, INDICATEUR CHANGEMENT CLIMATIQUE, ANALYSE QUANTITATIVE, ADAPTATION AU CHANGEMENT, TERRE AGRICOLE, [SDV.SA]Life Sciences [q-bio]/Agricultural sciences |
| الوصف: | International audience ; This study considers a quantitative approach for assessing the performance of Tunisian farming systems to face climate change. It is based on the resilience concept and the calculation, with a modelling chain, of three indicators: land stock, labour stock, and income flux. Two system states, ‘‘base’’ and ‘‘climate change’’, and a time horizon of 2010–2025, are developed and compared for representative farming systems. The study shows that 55% of the farming systems were identified as being resilient to climate change. They are diversified and mostly grow cereals, vegetables, and forage crops combined with livestock, increasing their capability to mitigate climate change by reorganizing crop activities. 35% of the farms identified as being non-resilient are dominated by orchards, or cereals and orchards. They showed an important drop in farm income (-45%), mainly due to their inability to adapt their cropping systems to water stress and soil salinity. Finally, only 10% were identified as being poorly resilient farming systems. Those farms have mainly intensified cereal cropping systems based on a strategy of purchasing land to increase the surface area of profitable activities (forage and livestock). Overall, the methodology can be adapted for other dry land areas in the Mediterranean region and help experts and policy-makers to propose and test strategies for adapting to climate change. |
| نوع الوثيقة: | article in journal/newspaper |
| اللغة: | English |
| Relation: | hal-01605036; https://hal.science/hal-01605036; MEDITAGRI: 37468; PRODINRA: 388599; WOS: 000428382200003 |
| DOI: | 10.1007/s10113-017-1130-8 |
| الاتاحة: | https://hal.science/hal-01605036 https://doi.org/10.1007/s10113-017-1130-8 |
| Rights: | http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/ |
| رقم الانضمام: | edsbas.65E0153E |
| قاعدة البيانات: | BASE |
| DOI: | 10.1007/s10113-017-1130-8 |
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