التفاصيل البيبلوغرافية
| العنوان: |
十八世紀贛南地區的糧食市場整合研究 ; The eighteenth century's integration research of Gannan areas grain market |
| المؤلفون: |
鄭生芬, Tsen, Sheng-Fen |
| المساهمون: |
歷史學系, 謝美娥, Hsieh, Mei-E |
| سنة النشر: |
2011 |
| مصطلحات موضوعية: |
贛南, 江西, 米價, 糧價, 清代, 長期趨勢, 市場整合, Gannan, jiang xi, rice price, grain price, Qing, long-term trend, market integration, anthro-se, manag |
| الوصف: |
本文從「清代糧價資料庫」取得清代贛州府、南安府及寧都直隸州的米價原始數據，建立一組糧價時間數列，經過可靠性評估及補遺漏值，運用計量方法，分析此一數列的長期趨勢以及相關分析，探討贛南地區的市場整合程度，並輔以定性史料佐證量化研究結論。 觀察米價的長期趨勢，結果皆呈現緩慢上升的長期趨勢。由史籍記載的自然災害考察其與糧價變動的關聯性，極端價格多有相應的天災伴隨發生，驗證其極端值並非人為統計造成。 對米價長期變動的觀察，顯示贛州府、南安府、寧都直隸州三個府（州）的時間數列變動極為近似，已經間接證實贛南地區的米糧市場呈現高度整合狀態，以相關分析法所得的結果，贛州府與南安府的相關係數值高達0.84，贛州府及寧都直隸州的相關係數值達0.78，兩組相關係數接近0.8或以上，且數值皆為正相關，表示彼此關係緊密，意謂贛州府、南安府、寧都直隸州三府（州）的糧食市場有高度的整合，實可視為同一市場區。又南安府與寧都直隸州的相關係數雖較低，為0.56，但不能視為兩者不相關。從米價相關分析的結果，驗證十八世紀贛州府、南安府、寧都直隸州三府（州）的糧食市場為高度整合的地區，贛南地區實可視為一個糧食市場區。 ; This paper got Qing Dynasty government of state ,Gan ,Ning Nan and Ningdu Chihli‘s price raw data of rice from the "Qing Dynasty’s price of food database" . That established a time series of prices and through a reliable evaluation and repair missing values to analyze this time series of long-term trend and related analysis used by quantitative methods. Discussing the Gannan area’s degree of market integration supported by qualitative researching conclusion with qualitative historiography. The results of observing the long-term trend’s price of rice showed are up slowly by long-term trend. Exploring the relevance of price’s change from the historiography’s natural disaster records. The extreme price most happened with corresponding natural disasters.That is prove the extreme value doesn’t cause by artificial statistic. Observing the long-term trend’s price of rice showed the government of state Gan ,Ning Nan and Ningdu Chihli’s series of time change is very similar. That has already been confirmed indirectly Gannan area’s the rice market was showed the state of high integration that results get by correlation analytic method. The government of state Gan and Ning Nan’s related coefficient as high as 0.84. The government of state Gan and Ning Du Zhili’s related coefficient to 0.78. This two group’s coefficient close to 0.8 or more and the value are both positive correlations are showed they have close correlation. It mean the government of state Gan ,Ning Nan and Ningdu Chihli’s price of rice market have high integration could ... |
| نوع الوثيقة: |
thesis |
| اللغة: |
unknown |
| Relation: |
http://ir.lib.ncku.edu.tw/handle/987654321/210240 |
| الاتاحة: |
http://ir.lib.ncku.edu.tw/handle/987654321/210240 |
| Rights: |
undefined |
| رقم الانضمام: |
edsbas.62475085 |
| قاعدة البيانات: |
BASE |