Academic Journal

Resilient Coastal Protection Infrastructures: Probabilistic Sensitivity Analysis of Wave Overtopping Using Gaussian Process Surrogate Models

التفاصيل البيبلوغرافية
العنوان: Resilient Coastal Protection Infrastructures: Probabilistic Sensitivity Analysis of Wave Overtopping Using Gaussian Process Surrogate Models
المؤلفون: Paul Kent, Soroush Abolfathi, Hannah Al Ali, Tabassom Sedighi, Omid Chatrabgoun, Alireza Daneshkhah
المصدر: Sustainability ; Volume 16 ; Issue 20 ; Pages: 9110
بيانات النشر: Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute
سنة النشر: 2024
المجموعة: MDPI Open Access Publishing
مصطلحات موضوعية: climate resilience, coastal flooding, Gaussian processes, probabilistic sensitivity analysis, wave overtopping, coastal defence
جغرافية الموضوع: agris
الوصف: This paper presents a novel mathematical framework for assessing and predicting the resilience of critical coastal infrastructures against wave overtopping hazards and extreme climatic events. A probabilistic sensitivity analysis model is developed to evaluate the relative influence of hydrodynamic, geomorphological, and structural factors contributing to wave overtopping dynamics. Additionally, a stochastic Gaussian process (GP) model is introduced to predict the mean overtopping discharge from coastal defences. Both the sensitivity analysis and the predictive models are validated using a large homogeneous dataset comprising 163 laboratory and field-scale tests. Statistical evaluations demonstrate the superior performance of the GPs in identifying key parameters driving wave overtopping and predicting mean discharge rates, outperforming existing regression-based formulae. The proposed model offers a robust predictive tool for assessing the performance of critical coastal protection infrastructures under various climate scenarios.
نوع الوثيقة: text
وصف الملف: application/pdf
اللغة: English
Relation: Sustainable Engineering and Science; https://dx.doi.org/10.3390/su16209110
DOI: 10.3390/su16209110
الاتاحة: https://doi.org/10.3390/su16209110
Rights: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
رقم الانضمام: edsbas.3D550AE6
قاعدة البيانات: BASE