口蹄疫の防疫判断をサポートするシステムの開発 ; Development of Decision Support System for Prevention of Foot-and-mouth Disease
| العنوان: | 口蹄疫の防疫判断をサポートするシステムの開発 ; Development of Decision Support System for Prevention of Foot-and-mouth Disease |
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| المؤلفون: | 平田, 木乃美, 31579, ヒラタ, コノミ, Hirata, Konomi, 岩満, 海人, 30684, イワミツ, カイト, 高塚, 佳代子, 14889, タカツカ, カヤコ, Takatsuka, Kayoko, 山場, 久昭, 14888, ヤマバ, ヒサアキ, 60260741, Yamaba, Hisaaki, 油田, 健太郎, 11847, アブラダ, ケンタロウ, 30433410, Aburada, Kentaro, 岡崎, 直宣, 11839, オカザキ, ナオノブ, 90347047, Okazaki, Naonobu, Iwamitsu, Kaito, 30690 |
| بيانات النشر: | 宮崎大学工学部 Faculty of Engineering, University of Miyazaki |
| سنة النشر: | 2018 |
| المجموعة: | University of Miyazaki: Dspace |
| مصطلحات موضوعية: | foot-and-mouth disease, domestic animal indectious diseases, Keeling model |
| الوصف: | Foot-and-mouth disease(FMD), one of the important domestic animal infectious diseases, has strong propagation power and epidemic measures at the early stage of development are important, however there is a problem that infection can not be confirmed at an early stage because of a latent period. Therefore, in order to formulate an appropriate quarantine strategy, it is necessary to determine the infection status on a daily basis or on a farm-by-farm basis. However, existing research was only predicting the trend of the infection period and the total number of infectious diseases throughout the infected area, and the daily assessment of the situation during the infection period in Miyazaki prefecture in 2010 depended on the intuition of the staff in charge. In the past, we defined and introduced the concept of infection index, which is a numerical value of infection-diffusion situation, based on existing epidemiological model(Keeling model). In this paper, we devise a method to quantitatively handle the trade-off between the prevention pedestal budget and the infection risk which could not be done by using the infection index and infection presumption model developed earlier. Then, we develop an epidemic judgment system that supports the narrowing down of targeted areas. In addition, we show case studies that objective discussion on the epidemic budget which was difficult when infected in 2010 can be made by using the proposed method. ; departmental bulletin paper |
| نوع الوثيقة: | other/unknown material |
| وصف الملف: | application/pdf |
| اللغة: | Japanese |
| تدمد: | 05404924 |
| Relation: | 宮崎大学工学部紀要; 47; 285; 289; Memoirs of Faculty of Engineering, University of Miyazaki; AA00732558; http://hdl.handle.net/10458/6448 |
| الاتاحة: | https://miyazaki-u.repo.nii.ac.jp/record/5691/files/p285-289_vol47.pdf http://hdl.handle.net/10458/6448 https://miyazaki-u.repo.nii.ac.jp/records/5691 |
| رقم الانضمام: | edsbas.30ABA8DB |
| قاعدة البيانات: | BASE |
| تدمد: | 05404924 |
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