Academic Journal
Mortality risk and economic loss attributable to cold and heat temperatures in Central and South America
| العنوان: | Mortality risk and economic loss attributable to cold and heat temperatures in Central and South America |
|---|---|
| المؤلفون: | Tobías, Aurelio, Íñiguez, Carmen, Díaz, Magali Hurtado, Riojas, Horacio, Cifuentes, Luis Abdon, Royé, Dominic, Abrutzky, Rosana, Coelho, Micheline de Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio, Saldiva, Paulo Hilario Nascimento, Ortega, Nicolás Valdés, Correa, Patricia Matus, Osorio, Samuel, Carrasco, Gabriel, Colistro, Valentina, Pascal, Mathilde, Chanel, Olivier, Madaniyazi, Lina, Gasparrini, Antonio |
| بيانات النشر: | Lippincott, Williams & Wilkins |
| سنة النشر: | 2024 |
| المجموعة: | London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine: LSHTM Research Online |
| الوصف: | Background. We quantify the mortality burden and economic loss attributable to non-optimal temperatures for cold and heat in the Central and South American countries in the Multi-City Multi-Country (MCC) Collaborative Research Network. Methods. We collected data for 66 locations from 13 countries in Central and South America to estimate location-specific temperature-mortality associations using time-series regression with distributed lag non-linear models. We calculated the attributable deaths for cold and heat as the 2.5th and 97.5th temperature percentiles, above and below the MMT, and used the value of a life year (VOLY) to estimate the economic loss of delayed deaths. Results. The mortality impact of cold varied widely by country, from 9.64% in Uruguay to 0.22% in Costa Rica. The heat-attributable fraction for mortality ranged from 1.41% in Paraguay to 0.01% in Ecuador. Locations in arid and temperate climatic zones showed higher cold-related mortality (5.10% and 5.29%, respectively) than those in tropical climates (1.71%). Arid and temperate climatic zones saw lower heat-attributable fraction (0.69% and 0.58%) than arid climatic zone (0.92%). Exposure to cold led to an annual economic loss of 0.6 million US dollars ($) in Costa Rica to $472.2 million in Argentina. In comparison, heat resulted in economic losses of $0.05 million in Ecuador to $90.6 million in Brazil. Conclusion. Most of the mortality burden for Central and South American countries is caused by cold compared to heat, generating annual economic losses of $2.1 billion and $290.7 million, respectively. Public health policies and adaptation measures in the Region should account for the health effects associated with non-optimal temperatures. |
| نوع الوثيقة: | article in journal/newspaper |
| وصف الملف: | text |
| اللغة: | English |
| Relation: | https://researchonline.lshtm.ac.uk/id/eprint/4673678/7/Tobias-etal-2024-Mortality-burden-and-economic-loss.pdf; Tobías, Aurelio; Íñiguez, Carmen; Díaz, Magali Hurtado; Riojas, Horacio; Cifuentes, Luis Abdon; Royé, Dominic; Abrutzky, Rosana; Coelho, Micheline de Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio; Saldiva, Paulo Hilario Nascimento; Ortega, Nicolás Valdés; +8 more. Correa, Patricia Matus; Osorio, Samuel; Carrasco, Gabriel; Colistro, Valentina; Pascal, Mathilde; Chanel, Olivier; Madaniyazi, Lina; Gasparrini, Antonio ; (2024) Mortality risk and economic loss attributable to cold and heat temperatures in Central and South America. Environmental Epidemiology. ISSN 2474-7882 https://researchonline.lshtm.ac.uk/id/eprint/4673678 (In Press) |
| الاتاحة: | https://researchonline.lshtm.ac.uk/id/eprint/4673678/ https://researchonline.lshtm.ac.uk/id/eprint/4673678/7/Tobias-etal-2024-Mortality-burden-and-economic-loss.pdf |
| Rights: | cc_by_nc_nd_4 |
| رقم الانضمام: | edsbas.1E6F7E1D |
| قاعدة البيانات: | BASE |
| الوصف غير متاح. |