Academic Journal

Risk scores' performance and their impact on operative decision‑making in left‑sided endocarditis: a cohort study

التفاصيل البيبلوغرافية
العنوان: Risk scores' performance and their impact on operative decision‑making in left‑sided endocarditis: a cohort study
المؤلفون: Fernández Cisneros, A., Hernández-Meneses, Marta, Llopis Pérez, Jaime, Sandoval, Elena, Pereda, D., Alcocer, J., Barriuso, C., Castellá, M., Ambrosioni, J., Pericàs, Juan M., Vidal, B., Falces Salvador, Carles, Ibáñez,C., Perdomo,J., Rovira, I., García de la María, C., Moreno, A., Almela, M., Perisinotti, A., Dahl, A., Castro, P., Miró Meda, José M., Quintana, Eduard, Equip d'Endocarditis de l'Hospital Clínic de Barcelona
المصدر: Articles publicats en revistes (Genètica, Microbiologia i Estadística)
بيانات النشر: Springer Verlag
سنة النشر: 2022
المجموعة: Dipòsit Digital de la Universitat de Barcelona
مصطلحات موضوعية: Endocarditis, Cirurgia cardiovascular, Factors de risc en les malalties, Cardiovascular surgery, Risk factors in diseases
الوصف: Theaccuracy of contemporary risk scores in predicting perioperative mortality in infective endocarditis (IE) remains controversial. The aim is to evaluate the performance of existent mortality risk scores for cardiovascular surgery in IE and the impact on operability at high-risk thresholds. A single-center retrospective review of adult patients diagnosed with acute left-sided IE undergoing surgery from May 2014 to August 2019 (n = 142) was done. Individualized risk calculation was obtained according to the available mortality risk scores: EuroScore I and II, PALSUSE, Risk-E, Costa, De Feo-Cotrufo, AEPEI, STS-risk, STS-IE, APORTEI, and ICE-PCS scores. A cross-validation analysis was performed on the score with the best area under the curve (AUC). The 30-day survival was 96.5% (95%CI 91-98%). The score with worse area under the curve (AUC = 0.6) was the STS-IE score, while the higher was for the RISK-E score (AUC = 0.89). The AUC of the majority of risk scores suggested acceptable performance; however, statistically significant differences in expected versus observed mortalities were common. The cross-validation analysis showed that a large number of survivors (> 75%) would not have been operated if arbitrary high-risk threshold estimates had been used to deny surgery. The observed mortality in our cohort is significantly lower than is predicted by contemporary risk scores. Despite the reasonable numeric performance of the analyzed scores, their utility in judging the operability of a given patient remains questionable, as demonstrated in the cross-validation analysis. Future guidelines may advise that denial of surgery should only follow a highly experienced Endocarditis Team evaluation.
نوع الوثيقة: article in journal/newspaper
وصف الملف: 10 p.; application/pdf
اللغة: English
تدمد: 0934-9723
Relation: Reproducció del document publicat a: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10096-022-04516-2; European Journal of Clinical Microbiology & Infectious Diseases, 2022, vol. 42, p. 33-42; https://doi.org/10.1007/s10096-022-04516-2; http://hdl.handle.net/2445/193716; 726639
الاتاحة: http://hdl.handle.net/2445/193716
Rights: cc by (c) Fernández Cisneros, A. et al., 2022 ; http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/es/ ; info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
رقم الانضمام: edsbas.14C19BA9
قاعدة البيانات: BASE