Academic Journal

High-resolution dispersion modelling of PM2.5, PM10, NOx and NO2 exposure in metropolitan areas in Sweden 2000-2018 : large health gains due to decreased population exposure

التفاصيل البيبلوغرافية
العنوان: High-resolution dispersion modelling of PM2.5, PM10, NOx and NO2 exposure in metropolitan areas in Sweden 2000-2018 : large health gains due to decreased population exposure
المؤلفون: Kilbo Edlund, Karl, Kisiel, Marta A., Asker, Christian, Segersson, David, Bennet, Cecilia, Spanne, Mårten, Gustafsson, Susanna, Lindvall, Jenny, Eneroth, Kristina, Tondel, Martin, Ljungman, Petter, Stockfelt, Leo, Pershagen, Göran, Molnár, Peter
بيانات النشر: Uppsala universitet, Arbets- och miljömedicin
Univ Gothenburg, Inst Med,Sahlgrenska Acad, Sch Publ Hlth & Community Med, Occupat & Environm Med, Gothenburg, Sweden.;Sahlgrens Univ Hosp, Dept Occupat & Environm Med, Medicinaregatan 16A,Box 414, SE-41390 Gothenburg, Sweden.
Uppsala Univ Hosp, Occupat & Environm Med, Uppsala, Sweden
Swedish Meteorol & Hydrol Inst, Meteorol Res Unit, Norrköping, Sweden.
Environm Dept, Malmö, Sweden.
SLB Anal, Environm & Hlth Adm, Stockholm, Sweden.
SLB Anal, Environm & Hlth Adm, Stockholm, Sweden.;Inst Environm Med, Karolinska Inst, Stockholm, Sweden.
Inst Environm Med, Karolinska Inst, Stockholm, Sweden.;Danderyd Hosp, Dept Cardiol, Stockholm, Sweden.
Inst Environm Med, Karolinska Inst, Stockholm, Sweden.
سنة النشر: 2024
المجموعة: Uppsala University: Publications (DiVA)
مصطلحات موضوعية: Air Pollution, Environmental Exposure, Dispersion model, Health Impact Assessment, Occupational Health and Environmental Health, Arbetsmedicin och miljömedicin, Environmental Sciences, Miljövetenskap
الوصف: Ambient air pollution remains the major environmental cause of disease. Accurate assessment of population exposure and small-scale spatial exposure variations over long time periods is essential for epidemiological studies. We estimated annual exposure to fine and coarse particulate matter (PM2.5, PM10), and nitrogen oxides (NOx, NO2) with high spatial resolution to examine time trends 2000‒2018, compliance with the WHO Air Quality Guidelines, and assess the health impact. The modelling area covered six metropolitan areas in Sweden with a combined population of 5.5 million. Long-range transported air pollutants were modelled using a chemical transport model with bias correction, and locally emitted air pollutants using source-specific Gaussian-type dispersion models at resolutions up to 50 × 50 m. The modelled concentrations were validated using quality-controlled monitoring data. Lastly, we estimated the reduction in mortality associated with the decrease in population exposure. The validity of modelled air pollutant concentrations was good (R2 for PM2.5 0.84, PM10 0.61, and NOx 0.87). Air pollution exposure decreased substantially, from a population weighted mean exposure to PM2.5 of 12.2 µg m−3 in 2000 to 5.4 µg m−3 in 2018. We estimated that the decreased exposure was associated with a reduction of 2719 (95% CI 2046–3055) premature deaths annually. However, in 2018, 65%, 8%, and 42% of residents in the modelled areas were still exposed to PM2.5, PM10, or NO2 levels, respectively, that exceeded the current WHO Air Quality Guidelines for annual average exposure. This emphasises the potential public health benefits of reductions in air pollution emissions.
نوع الوثيقة: article in journal/newspaper
وصف الملف: application/pdf
اللغة: English
Relation: Air quality, atmosphere and health, 1873-9318, 2024, 17:8, s. 1661-1675; ISI:001171825500001
DOI: 10.1007/s11869-024-01535-0
الاتاحة: http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-542170
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11869-024-01535-0
Rights: info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
رقم الانضمام: edsbas.139688B
قاعدة البيانات: BASE
الوصف
DOI:10.1007/s11869-024-01535-0