Bootstrapping Structural Change Tests

التفاصيل البيبلوغرافية
العنوان: Bootstrapping Structural Change Tests
المؤلفون: Boldea, Otilia, Cornea-Madeira, Adriana, Hall, Alastair R.
المصدر: Journal of Econometrics, 2019
سنة النشر: 2018
مصطلحات موضوعية: Economics - Econometrics
الوصف: This paper analyses the use of bootstrap methods to test for parameter change in linear models estimated via Two Stage Least Squares (2SLS). Two types of test are considered: one where the null hypothesis is of no change and the alternative hypothesis involves discrete change at k unknown break-points in the sample; and a second test where the null hypothesis is that there is discrete parameter change at l break-points in the sample against an alternative in which the parameters change at l + 1 break-points. In both cases, we consider inferences based on a sup-Wald-type statistic using either the wild recursive bootstrap or the wild fixed bootstrap. We establish the asymptotic validity of these bootstrap tests under a set of general conditions that allow the errors to exhibit conditional and/or unconditional heteroskedasticity, and report results from a simulation study that indicate the tests yield reliable inferences in the sample sizes often encountered in macroeconomics. The analysis covers the cases where the first-stage estimation of 2SLS involves a model whose parameters are either constant or themselves subject to discrete parameter change. If the errors exhibit unconditional heteroskedasticity and/or the reduced form is unstable then the bootstrap methods are particularly attractive because the limiting distributions of the test statistics are not pivotal.
نوع الوثيقة: Working Paper
DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2019.05.019
URL الوصول: http://arxiv.org/abs/1811.04125
رقم الانضمام: edsarx.1811.04125
قاعدة البيانات: arXiv
الوصف
DOI:10.1016/j.jeconom.2019.05.019