Cyber risk modelling using copulas

التفاصيل البيبلوغرافية
العنوان: Cyber risk modelling using copulas
المؤلفون: Spišiak, Michal
المساهمون: Teplý, Petr, Baruník, Jozef
سنة النشر: 2020
مصطلحات موضوعية: operační riziko, únik dat, hodnota v riziku, podmíněná hodnota v riziku, value at risk, operational risk, kopule, teorie extrémních hodnot, cyber risk, copula, conditional value at risk, data breach, extreme value theory, kybernetické riziko
الوصف: Cyber risk or data breach risk can be estimated similarly as other types of operational risk. First we identify problems of cyber risk models in existing literature. A large dataset consisting of 5,713 loss events enables us to apply extreme value theory. We adopt goodness of fit tests adjusted for distribution functions with estimated parameters. These tests are often overlooked in the literature even though they are essential for correct results. We model aggregate losses in three different industries separately and then we combine them using a copula. A t-test reveals that potential one-year global losses due to data breach risk are larger than the GDP of the Czech Republic. Moreover, one-year global cyber risk measured with a 99% CVaR amounts to 2.5% of the global GDP. Unlike others we compare risk measures with other quantities which allows wider audience to understand the magnitude of the cyber risk. An estimate of global data breach risk is a useful indicator not only for insurers, but also for any organization processing sensitive data.
اللغة: English
URL الوصول: https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=od______2186::113daa6c047f616f3499f28fb89c7f8f
http://www.nusl.cz/ntk/nusl-435135
Rights: RESTRICTED
رقم الانضمام: edsair.od......2186..113daa6c047f616f3499f28fb89c7f8f
قاعدة البيانات: OpenAIRE