Combined climate change and nutrient load impacts on future habitats and eutrophication indicators in a eutrophic coastal sea
| العنوان: | Combined climate change and nutrient load impacts on future habitats and eutrophication indicators in a eutrophic coastal sea |
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| المؤلفون: | Helén Andersson, Maris Plikshs, Brian R. MacKenzie, Anders Höglund, Kari Eilola, Matthias Gröger, Elin Almroth-Rosell, Iréne Wåhlström |
| المصدر: | Wåhlström, I, Höglund, A, Almroth-Rosell, E, MacKenzie, B R, Gröger, M, Eilola, K, Plikshs, M & Andersson, H C 2020, ' Combined climate change and nutrient load impacts on future habitats and eutrophication indicators in a eutrophic coastal sea ', Limnology and Oceanography, vol. 65, no. 9, pp. 2170-2187 . https://doi.org/10.1002/lno.11446 |
| بيانات النشر: | Wiley, 2020. |
| سنة النشر: | 2020 |
| مصطلحات موضوعية: | 0106 biological sciences, 010504 meteorology & atmospheric sciences, 010604 marine biology & hydrobiology, fungi, Climate change, Oceanografi, hydrologi och vattenresurser, 15. Life on land, Aquatic Science, Oceanography, 01 natural sciences, Oceanography, Hydrology and Water Resources, Nutrient, Habitat, 13. Climate action, SDG 13 - Climate Action, Environmental science, sense organs, SDG 14 - Life Below Water, 14. Life underwater, Eutrophication, 0105 earth and related environmental sciences, Coastal sea |
| الوصف: | Eutrophication and climate change will affect habitats of species and more generally, the structure and functioning of ecosystems. We used a three‐dimensional, coupled hydrodynamic‐biogeochemical model to investigate potential future changes in size and location of potential habitats of marine species during the 21st century in a large, eutrophicated brackish sea (the Baltic Sea, northern Europe). We conducted scenario projections under the combined impact of nutrient load and climate change. Possible future changes of the eutrophication state of this sea were also assessed through two policy‐relevant indicators. The results imply a physiologically more stressful environment for marine species by the end of the 21st century: volumes of higher salinity water become more hypoxic/anoxic and the volumes of low salinity, oxic water increase. For example, these results impact and reduce cod reproductive habitats. The decrease is mainly climate change induced in the Baltic basins less directly influenced by inflows of saline, oxic water to the Baltic Sea (E Gotland and Gdansk Basins). In basins more directly influenced by such inflows (Arkona and Bornholm Basins), the combined effect from climate change and nutrient loads is of importance. The results for the eutrophication state indicators clearly indicate a more eutrophic sea than at present without a rigorous nutrient reduction policy, that is, the necessity to implement the Baltic Sea Action Plan. The multidisciplinary, multiscenario assessment strategy presented here provides a useful concept for the evaluation of impacts from cumulative stresses of changing climate and socioeconomic pressures on future eutrophication indicators and habitats of marine species. |
| وصف الملف: | application/pdf; text |
| تدمد: | 1939-5590 0024-3590 |
| DOI: | 10.1002/lno.11446 |
| URL الوصول: | https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_dedup___::88d9588a9e6c5dfad50dd9060f49865b https://doi.org/10.1002/lno.11446 |
| Rights: | OPEN |
| رقم الانضمام: | edsair.doi.dedup.....88d9588a9e6c5dfad50dd9060f49865b |
| قاعدة البيانات: | OpenAIRE |
| تدمد: | 19395590 00243590 |
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| DOI: | 10.1002/lno.11446 |