Jumps in stock prices: New insights from old data

التفاصيل البيبلوغرافية
العنوان: Jumps in stock prices: New insights from old data
المؤلفون: Bradley S. Paye, Marcelo C. Medeiros, James A. Johnson
المصدر: Journal of Financial Markets. 60:100708
بيانات النشر: Elsevier BV, 2022.
سنة النشر: 2022
مصطلحات موضوعية: Economics and Econometrics, Realized variance, Equity premium puzzle, Risk premium, Monetary policy, Economics, Jump, Econometrics, Stock market, Volatility (finance), Stock (geology), Finance
الوصف: We characterize jump dynamics in stock market returns using a novel series of intraday prices covering almost 90 years. Jump dynamics vary substantially over time. Trends in jump activity relate to secular shifts in the nature of news. Unscheduled news often involving major wars drives jump activity in early decades, whereas scheduled news and especially news pertaining to monetary policy drives jump activity in recent decades. Jump variation measures forecast excess stock market returns, consistent with theory. Results support models featuring a separate jump factor such that risk premium dynamics are not fully captured by volatility state variables.
تدمد: 1386-4181
DOI: 10.1016/j.finmar.2022.100708
URL الوصول: https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_dedup___::5d10f610b2decb27837c76b853a5bd24
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.finmar.2022.100708
Rights: OPEN
رقم الانضمام: edsair.doi.dedup.....5d10f610b2decb27837c76b853a5bd24
قاعدة البيانات: OpenAIRE
الوصف
تدمد:13864181
DOI:10.1016/j.finmar.2022.100708