Silent infarcts (SI) are a cerebral small vessel disease characterized by small subcortical infarcts. These occur in the absence of typical ischemia symptoms but are linked to cognitive decline and dementia. While there are no approved treatments for SI, recent results from our laboratory suggest that tamoxifen, a selective estrogen receptor modulator, is a viable candidate. In the present study, we induced SI in the dorsal hippocampal CA1 region of rats and assessed the effects of systemic administration of tamoxifen (5 mg/kg, twice) 21 days after injury on cognitive and pathophysiological measures, including cell loss, apoptosis, gliosis and estrogen receptors (ERs). We found that tamoxifen protected against the SI-induced cognitive dysfunction on the hippocampal-dependent, place recognition task, cell and ER loss, and increased apoptosis and gliosis in the CA1. Exploratory data analyses using a scatterplot matrix and principal component analysis indicated that SI-tamoxifen rats were indistinguishable from sham controls while they differed from SI rats, who were characterized by enhanced cell loss, apoptosis and gliosis, lower ERs, and recognition memory deficit. Supervised machine learning using support vector machine (SVM) determined predictors of progression from the early ischemic state to the dementia-like state. It showed that caspase-3 and ERα in the CA1 and exploration proportion were reliable and accurate predictors of this progression. Importantly, tamoxifen ameliorated SI-induced effects on all three of these variables, providing further evidence for its viability as a candidate treatment for SI and prevention of associated dementia.