Optimization of COVID-19 vaccination and the role of individuals with a high number of contacts: A model based approach

التفاصيل البيبلوغرافية
العنوان: Optimization of COVID-19 vaccination and the role of individuals with a high number of contacts: A model based approach
المؤلفون: Tarcísio M. Rocha Filho, José F. F. Mendes, Thiago B. Murari, Aloísio S. Nascimento Filho, Antônio J. A. Cordeiro, Walter M. Ramalho, Fúlvio A. Scorza, Antônio-Carlos G. Almeida, Marcelo A. Moret
المصدر: PloS one. 17(3)
سنة النشر: 2021
مصطلحات موضوعية: Multidisciplinary, COVID-19 Vaccines, Portugal, SARS-CoV-2, Vaccination, COVID-19, Humans, Vaccine Efficacy, Models, Theoretical, Brazil
الوصف: We report strong evidence of the importance of contact hubs (or superspreaders) in mitigating the current COVID-19 pandemic. Contact hubs have a much larger number of contacts than the average in the population, and play a key role on the effectiveness of vaccination strategies. By using an age-structures compartmental SEIAHRV (Susceptible, Exposed, Infected symptomatic, Asymptomatic, Hospitalized, Recovered, Vaccinated) model, calibrated from available demographic and COVID-19 incidence, and considering separately those individuals with a much greater number of contacts than the average in the population, we show that carefully choosing who will compose the first group to be vaccinated can impact positively the total death toll and the demand for health services. This is even more relevant in countries with a lack of basic resources for proper vaccination and a significant reduction in social isolation. In order to demonstrate our approach we show the effect of hypothetical vaccination scenarios in two countries of very different scales and mitigation policies, Brazil and Portugal.
تدمد: 1932-6203
URL الوصول: https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_dedup___::4a7739179f37848b46165adcced83463
https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/35259169
Rights: OPEN
رقم الانضمام: edsair.doi.dedup.....4a7739179f37848b46165adcced83463
قاعدة البيانات: OpenAIRE