An IBNR–RBNS insurance risk model with marked Poisson arrivals

التفاصيل البيبلوغرافية
العنوان: An IBNR–RBNS insurance risk model with marked Poisson arrivals
المؤلفون: Andrei L. Badescu, Jeong-Rae Kim, Soohan Ahn, Eric C.K. Cheung
المصدر: Insurance: Mathematics and Economics. 79:26-42
بيانات النشر: Elsevier BV, 2018.
سنة النشر: 2018
مصطلحات موضوعية: Statistics and Probability, Incurred but not reported, Economics and Econometrics, 050208 finance, 05 social sciences, Markov process, Poisson distribution, 01 natural sciences, 010104 statistics & probability, symbols.namesake, 0502 economics and business, Poisson point process, Econometrics, symbols, Fluid queue, Pairwise comparison, Markovian arrival process, Settlement (trust), 0101 mathematics, Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty, Mathematics
الوصف: Inspired by the claim reserving problem in non-life insurance, this paper proposes to study the insurer’s surplus process under a micro-level framework, with particular focus on modeling the Incurred But Not Reported (IBNR) and the Reported But Not Settled (RBNS) claims. It is assumed that accidents occur according to a Poisson point process, and each accident is accompanied by a claim developmental mark that contains the reporting time, the settlement time, and the size of (possibly multiple) payments between these two times. Under exponential reporting and settlement delays, we show that our model can be represented as a Markovian risk process with countably infinite number of states. This can in turn be transformed to an equivalent fluid flow model when the payments are phase-type distributed. As a result, classical measures such as ruin probability or more generally the Gerber–Shiu expected discounted penalty function follow directly. The joint Laplace transform and the pairwise joint moments involving the ruin time and the aggregate payments of different types (with and without claim settlement) are further derived. Numerical illustrations are given at the end, including the use of a real insurance dataset.
تدمد: 0167-6687
DOI: 10.1016/j.insmatheco.2017.12.004
URL الوصول: https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::dc655a888c0e60ec4bf28b40045f35d5
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.insmatheco.2017.12.004
Rights: CLOSED
رقم الانضمام: edsair.doi...........dc655a888c0e60ec4bf28b40045f35d5
قاعدة البيانات: OpenAIRE
الوصف
تدمد:01676687
DOI:10.1016/j.insmatheco.2017.12.004