A Bayesian analysis on time series structural equation models

التفاصيل البيبلوغرافية
العنوان: A Bayesian analysis on time series structural equation models
المؤلفون: Tsai Hung Fan, Yi Fu Wang
المصدر: Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference. 141:2071-2078
بيانات النشر: Elsevier BV, 2011.
سنة النشر: 2011
مصطلحات موضوعية: Statistics and Probability, Markov chain, Applied Mathematics, Bayesian probability, Markov chain Monte Carlo, Latent variable, Structural equation modeling, Variable-order Bayesian network, symbols.namesake, Frequentist inference, Econometrics, symbols, Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty, Time series, Mathematics
الوصف: Structural equation models (SEM) have been extensively used in behavioral, social, and psychological research to model relations between the latent variables and the observations. Most software packages for the fitting of SEM rely on frequentist methods. Traditional models and software are not appropriate for analysis of the dependent observations such as time-series data. In this study, a structural equation model with a time series feature is introduced. A Bayesian approach is used to solve the model with the aid of the Markov chain Monte Carlo method. Bayesian inferences as well as prediction with the proposed time series structural equation model can also reveal certain unobserved relationships among the observations. The approach is successfully employed using real Asian, American and European stock return data.
تدمد: 0378-3758
DOI: 10.1016/j.jspi.2010.12.017
URL الوصول: https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::c08550b106d1fcd450463165c49ae883
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jspi.2010.12.017
Rights: CLOSED
رقم الانضمام: edsair.doi...........c08550b106d1fcd450463165c49ae883
قاعدة البيانات: OpenAIRE
الوصف
تدمد:03783758
DOI:10.1016/j.jspi.2010.12.017