Spatiotemporal dynamics of malaria in Zanzibar, 2015–2020

التفاصيل البيبلوغرافية
العنوان: Spatiotemporal dynamics of malaria in Zanzibar, 2015–2020
المؤلفون: Donal Bisanzio, Shabbir Lalji, Faiza B Abbas, Mohamed H Ali, Wahida Hassan, Humphrey R Mkali, Abdul-wahid Al-Mafazy, Joseph J Joseph, Ssanyu Nyinondi, Chonge Kitojo, Naomi Serbantez, Erik Reaves, Erin Eckert, Jeremiah M Ngondi, Richard Reithinger
المصدر: BMJ Global Health. 8:e009566
بيانات النشر: BMJ, 2023.
سنة النشر: 2023
مصطلحات موضوعية: Health Policy, Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health
الوصف: BackgroundDespite high coverage of malaria interventions, malaria elimination in Zanzibar remains elusive, with the annual number of cases increasing gradually over the last 3 years.ObjectiveThe aims of the study were to (1) assess the spatiotemporal dynamics of malaria in Zanzibar between 2015 and 2020 and (2) identify malaria hotspots that would allow Zanzibar to develop an epidemiological stratification for more effective and granular intervention targeting.MethodsIn this study, we analysed data routinely collected by Zanzibar’s Malaria Case Notification (MCN) system. The system collects sociodemographic and epidemiological data from all malaria cases. Cases are passively detected at health facilities (ie, primary index cases) and through case follow-up and reactive case detection (ie, secondary cases). Analyses were performed to identify the spatial heterogeneity of case reporting at shehia (ward) level during transmission seasons.ResultsFrom 1 January 2015 to 30 April 2020, the MCN system reported 22 686 index cases. Number of cases reported showed a declining trends from 2015 to 2016, followed by an increase from 2017 to 2020. More than 40% of cases had a travel history outside Zanzibar in the month prior to testing positive for malaria. The proportion of followed up index cases was approximately 70% for all years. Out of 387 shehias, 79 (20.4%) were identified as malaria hotspots in any given year; these hotspots reported 52% of all index cases during the study period. Of the 79 hotspot shehias, 12 were hotspots in more than 4 years, that is, considered temporally stable, reporting 14.5% of all index cases.ConclusionsOur findings confirm that the scale-up of malaria interventions has greatly reduced malaria transmission in Zanzibar since 2006. Analyses identified hotspots, some of which were stable across multiple years. Malaria efforts should progress from a universal intervention coverage approach to an approach that is more tailored to a select number of hotspot shehias.
تدمد: 2059-7908
DOI: 10.1136/bmjgh-2022-009566
URL الوصول: https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::bcd57eb744a634834d5df42f38e6ac02
https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjgh-2022-009566
Rights: OPEN
رقم الانضمام: edsair.doi...........bcd57eb744a634834d5df42f38e6ac02
قاعدة البيانات: OpenAIRE
الوصف
تدمد:20597908
DOI:10.1136/bmjgh-2022-009566