Post-disaster infrastructure recovery: Prediction of recovery rate using historical data

التفاصيل البيبلوغرافية
العنوان: Post-disaster infrastructure recovery: Prediction of recovery rate using historical data
المؤلفون: Yonas Zewdu Ayele, Abbas Barabadi
المصدر: Reliability Engineering & System Safety. 169:209-223
بيانات النشر: Elsevier BV, 2018.
سنة النشر: 2018
مصطلحات موضوعية: 021110 strategic, defence & security studies, Engineering, Risk management plan, business.industry, 020209 energy, Bayesian probability, 0211 other engineering and technologies, Regression analysis, 02 engineering and technology, Missing data, computer.software_genre, Industrial and Manufacturing Engineering, Recovery rate, Robustness (computer science), Covariate, 0202 electrical engineering, electronic engineering, information engineering, Data mining, Safety, Risk, Reliability and Quality, business, computer, Recovery consistency objective
الوصف: The recovery of infrastructure systems is of significant concern; in order to have effective risk management planning, an accurate prediction of the recovery time is required. A system may have different recovery paths due to the time of the accident, nature of the disruptive event, and surrounding environment, among many other factors. Hence, any model, which is employed to estimate the recovery time, should be able to quantify the effect of such influencing factors. Missing data, inappropriate assumption by analysts, and lack of applicable methodology are some practical challenges for recovery rate analysis. The purpose of this paper is to develop a methodology to address these challenges. It is based on the availability and the nature of historical data; it involves various steps, including categorizing the given data set into three groups: no or missing data set, homogeneous data set, and heterogeneous data set. Here, the Bayesian approach has been employed to handle the no or missing data set group. For the heterogeneous data set group, the proposed methodology suggested the application of covariate based models. Finally, for the homogeneous data set, the methodology employed statistical trend tests, to find the appropriate regression models. The application of the methodology is illustrated by real case studies.
تدمد: 0951-8320
DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2017.08.018
URL الوصول: https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::20bf11737b24c845162340ebf9e6b934
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ress.2017.08.018
Rights: CLOSED
رقم الانضمام: edsair.doi...........20bf11737b24c845162340ebf9e6b934
قاعدة البيانات: OpenAIRE
الوصف
تدمد:09518320
DOI:10.1016/j.ress.2017.08.018