In-hospital mortality from Coronavirus Disease 2019 in a northern Italian centre:results of a competing risk analysis from SMAtteo COvid19 REgistry (SMACORE)
التفاصيل البيبلوغرافية
العنوان:
In-hospital mortality from Coronavirus Disease 2019 in a northern Italian centre:results of a competing risk analysis from SMAtteo COvid19 REgistry (SMACORE)
Objectives An accurate prediction of the clinical outcomes of European patients requiring hospitalisation for Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) is lacking. The aim of the study is to identify predictors of in-hospital mortality and discharge in a cohort of Lombardy patients with COVID-19. MethodsAll consecutive hospitalised patients from February 21stto March 30th, 2020, with confirmed COVID-19 from the IRCCS Policlinico San Matteo, Pavia, Lombardy, Italy, were included. In-hospital mortality and discharge were evaluated by competing risk analysis. The Fine and Gray model was fitted in order to estimate the effect of covariates on the cumulative incidence functions (CIFs) for in-hospital mortality and discharge.Results 426 adult patients (median age 68 (IQR, 56 to 77 years) were admitted with confirmed COVID-19 over a 5-week period; 292 (69%) were male. By 21 April 2020, 141 (33%) of these patients had died, 239 (56%) patients had been discharged and 46 (11%) were still hospitalised. Regression on the CIFs for in-hospital mortality showed that older age, male sex, number of comorbidities and hospital admission after March 4thwere independent risk factors associated with in-hospital mortality.Conclusions Olderage, male sex and number of comorbidities definitively predicted in-hospital mortality in hospitalised patients with COVID-19