An Economist’s Guide to Epidemiology Models of Infectious Disease

التفاصيل البيبلوغرافية
العنوان: An Economist’s Guide to Epidemiology Models of Infectious Disease
المؤلفون: Sara Fisher Ellison, Glenn Ellison, Adam Thomas Clark, Christopher Avery, William H. Bossert
المصدر: Journal of Economic Perspectives. 34:79-104
بيانات النشر: American Economic Association, 2020.
سنة النشر: 2020
مصطلحات موضوعية: Economics and Econometrics, medicine.medical_specialty, 2019-20 coronavirus outbreak, History, Actuarial science, Mechanical Engineering, Public health, Energy Engineering and Power Technology, Disease, Management Science and Operations Research, Infectious disease (medical specialty), Pandemic, Epidemiology, medicine, Endogeneity, Disease transmission
الوصف: We describe the structure and use of epidemiology models of disease transmission, with an emphasis on the susceptible/infected/recovered (SIR) model. We discuss high-profile forecasts of cases and deaths that have been based on these models, what went wrong with the early forecasts, and how they have adapted to the current COVID pandemic. We also offer three distinct areas where economists would be well positioned to contribute to or inform this epidemiology literature: modeling heterogeneity of susceptible populations in various dimensions, accommodating endogeneity of the parameters governing disease spread, and helping to understand the importance of political economy issues in disease suppression.
تدمد: 0895-3309
DOI: 10.1257/jep.34.4.79
URL الوصول: https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::0b0cbdae20c6b7286fec214d737292c8
https://doi.org/10.1257/jep.34.4.79
Rights: OPEN
رقم الانضمام: edsair.doi...........0b0cbdae20c6b7286fec214d737292c8
قاعدة البيانات: OpenAIRE
الوصف
تدمد:08953309
DOI:10.1257/jep.34.4.79