Academic Journal

The "Tipping Point" of a Strategic Vote: When Does an Individual Vote Strategically?

التفاصيل البيبلوغرافية
العنوان: The "Tipping Point" of a Strategic Vote: When Does an Individual Vote Strategically?
المؤلفون: Anderson, Dylan S. J.1 dylansjanderson@gmail.com
المصدر: Canadian Journal of Political Science / Revue Canadienne de Science Politique. Sep2022, Vol. 55 Issue 3, p645-662. 18p.
مصطلحات موضوعية: *TACTICAL voting, *VOTING, *BALLOTS, *VOTERS, *VOTER qualifications
مستخلص: Although the existence of strategic voting in the United Kingdom and Canada has been well documented, quantifying when a voter will cast a strategic ballot has yet to be done. This article draws on electoral data from five UK and Canadian elections in order to address this gap by identifying a precise "tipping point" for when a non-viable party supporter's probability of voting strategically crosses a 50 per cent threshold. I find the best tipping point measure occurs when a voter rates their favourite viable party greater than 59 out of 100 in the UK and greater than 73 out of 100 in Canada. Both countries also have clear tipping points for the likeability of an individual's highest preferred party and perceptions of that party's distance from contention. Overall, by calculating these tipping points, researchers can better gauge voter behaviour and how, or when, certain factors contribute to strategic voting. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
قاعدة البيانات: Academic Search Index
الوصف
تدمد:00084239
DOI:10.1017/S0008423922000312