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1Academic Journal
المؤلفون: Simms, L. E., Engebretson, M. J., Reeves, G. D.
مصطلحات موضوعية: electron flux at geosynchronous orbit, ARMAX models, stepwise regression, ULF waves, substorms, solar wind and IMF drivers, Astronomy and Astrophysics, Science
وصف الملف: application/pdf
Relation: Simms, L. E.; Engebretson, M. J.; Reeves, G. D. (2023). "Determining the Timing of Driver Influences on 1.8–3.5 MeV Electron Flux at Geosynchronous Orbit Using ARMAX Methodology and Stepwise Regression." Journal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics 128(1): n/a-n/a.; https://hdl.handle.net/2027.42/175744; Journal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics; Simms, L. E., Engebretson, M. J., Pilipenko, V., Reeves, G. D., & Clilverd, M. ( 2016 ). Empirical predictive models of daily relativistic electron flux at geostationary orbit: Multiple regression analysis. Journal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics, 121 ( 4 ), 3181 – 3197. https://doi.org/10.1002/2016JA022414; Osmane, A., Savola, M., Kilpua, E., Koskinen, H., Borovsky, J. E., & Kalliokoski, M. ( 2022 ). Quantifying the non-linear dependence of energetic electron fluxes in the Earth’s radiation belts with radial diffusion drivers. 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Journal of Geophysical Research, 116 ( A2 ), A02213. https://doi.org/10.1029/2010JA015735; Romanova, N., & Pilipenko, V. ( 2009 ). ULF wave indices to characterize the solar wind-magnetosphere interaction and relativistic electron dynamics. Acta Geophysica, 57 ( 1 ), 158 – 170. https://doi.org/10.2478/s11600-008-0064-4; Rostoker, G., Skone, S., & Baker, D. N. ( 1998 ). On the origin of relativistic electrons in the magnetosphere associated with some geomagnetic storms. Geophysical Research Letters, 25 ( 19 ), 3701 – 3704. https://doi.org/10.1029/98gl02801; Sakaguchi, K., Nagatsuma, T., Reeves, G. D., & Spence, H. E. ( 2015 ). Prediction of MeV electron fluxes throughout the outer radiation belt using multivariate autoregressive models. Space Weather, 13 ( 12 ), 853 – 867. https://doi.org/10.1002/2015SW001254; Shprits, Y. Y., Thorne, R. M., Friedel, R., Reeves, G. D., Fennell, J., Baker, D. N., & Kanekal, S. G. ( 2006 ). Outward radial diffusion driven by losses at magnetopause. Journal of Geophysical Research, 111 ( A11 ), A11214. https://doi.org/10.1029/2006JA011657; Simms, L., Engebretson, M., Clilverd, M., Rodger, C., Lessard, M., Gjerloev, J., & Reeves, G. ( 2018 ). A distributed lag autoregressive model of geostationary relativistic electron fluxes: Comparing the influences of waves, seed and source electrons, and solar wind inputs. Journal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics, 123 ( 5 ), 3646 – 3671. https://doi.org/10.1029/2017JA025002; Simms, L. E., Engebretson, M. J., Rodger, C. J., Gjerloev, J. W., & Reeves, G. D. ( 2019 ). Predicting lower band chorus with autoregressive-moving average transfer function (ARMAX) models. Journal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics, 124 ( 7 ), 5692 – 5708. https://doi.org/10.1029/2019JA026726; Simms, L. E., Ganushkina, N. Y., van de Kamp, M., Liemohn, M. W., & Dubyagin, S. ( 2022 ). Using ARMAX models to determine the drivers of 40-150 keV GOES electron fluxes. Journal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics, 127 ( 9 ), e2022JA030538. https://doi.org/10.1029/2022JA030538; Simms, L. E., Pilipenko, V. A., Engebretson, M. J., Reeves, G. D., Smith, A. J., & Clilverd, M. ( 2014 ). Prediction of relativistic electron flux following storms at geostationary orbit: Multiple regression analysis. Journal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics, 119 ( 9 ), 7297 – 7318. https://doi.org/10.1002/2014JA019955; Simms, L. E., Engebretson, M. J., & Reeves, G. D. ( 2022 ). Removing diurnal signals and longer term trends from electron flux and ULF correlations: A comparison of spectral subtraction, simple differencing, and ARIMAX models. Journal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics, 127, 2. https://doi.org/10.1029/2021JA030021; SPSS. ( 2020 ). IBM SPSS Statistics for Windows (version 27.0). IBM Corp.; Staples, F. A., Kellerman, A., Murphy, K. R., Rae, I. J., Sandhu, J. K., & Forsyth, C. ( 2022 ). 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Untangling the solar wind and magnetospheric drivers of the radiation belt electrons. Journal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics, 127 ( 4 ), e2021JA030246. https://doi.org/10.1029/2021JA030246; Baker, D. N., Pulkkinen, T., Li, X., Kanekal, S., Ogilvie, K., Lepping, R., et al. ( 1998 ). A strong CME-related magnetic cloud interaction with the Earth’s magnetosphere: ISTP observations of rapid relativistic electron acceleration on May 15, 1997. Geophysical Research Letters, 25 ( 15 ), 2975 – 2978. https://doi.org/10.1029/98GL01134; Balikhin, M. A., Boynton, R. J., Walker, S. N., Borovsky, J. E., Billings, S. A., & Wei, H. L. ( 2011 ). Using the NARMAX approach to model the evolution of energetic electrons fluxes at geostationary orbit. Geophysical Research Letters, 38 ( 18 ), L18105. https://doi.org/10.1029/2011GL048980; Birn, J., Thomsen, M. F., Borovsky, J. E., Reeves, G. D., McComas, D. J., & Belian, R. D. ( 1997 ). Characteristic plasma properties during dispersionless substorm injections at geosynchronous orbit. Journal of Geophysical Research, 102 ( A2 ), 2309 – 2324. https://doi.org/10.1029/96JA02870; Borovsky, J. E. ( 2017 ). Time-integral correlations of multiple variables with the relativistic-electron flux at geosynchronous orbit: The strong roles of substorm-injected electrons and the ion plasma sheet. Journal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics, 122 ( 12 ), 11961 – 11990. https://doi.org/10.1002/2017JA024476; Borovsky, J. E., & Denton, M. H. ( 2014 ). Exploring the cross correlations and autocorrelations of the ULF indices and incorporating the ULF indices into the systems science of the solar wind-driven magnetosphere. Journal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics, 119 ( 6 ), 4307 – 4334. https://doi.org/10.1002/2014JA019876; Boyd, A. J., Spence, H. E., Claudepierre, S. G., Fennell, J. F., Blake, J. B., Baker, D. N., et al. ( 2014 ). Quantifying the radiation belt seed population in the 17 March 2013 electron acceleration event. Geophysical Research Letters, 41 ( 7 ), 2275 – 2281. https://doi.org/10.1002/2014GL059626; Boynton, R. J., Amariutei, O. A., Shprits, Y. Y., & Balikhin, M. A. ( 2019 ). The system science development of local time-dependent 40-keV electron flux models for geostationary orbit. Space Weather, 17 ( 6 ), 894 – 906. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018SW002128; Boynton, R. J., Balikhin, M. A., Billings, S. A., Reeves, G. D., Ganushkina, N., Gedalin, M., et al. ( 2013 ). The analysis of electron fluxes at geosynchronous orbit employing a NARMAX approach. Journal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics, 118 ( 4 ), 1500 – 1513. https://doi.org/10.1002/jgra.50192; Burton, R. K., McPherron, R. L., & Russell, C. T. ( 1975 ). An empirical relationship between interplanetary conditions and Dst. Journal of Geophysical Research, 80 ( 31 ), 4204 – 4214. https://doi.org/10.1029/JA080i031p04204; Elkington, S. 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2Academic Journal
المؤلفون: Simms, L. E., Ganushkina, N. Yu., Kamp, M., Liemohn, M. W., Dubyagin, S.
مصطلحات موضوعية: electron flux at geosynchronous orbit, ARMAX models, path analysis, substorms, Astronomy and Astrophysics, Science
وصف الملف: application/pdf
Relation: Simms, L. E.; Ganushkina, N. Yu.; Kamp, M.; Liemohn, M. W.; Dubyagin, S. (2022). "Using ARMAX Models to Determine the Drivers of 40–150 keV GOES Electron Fluxes." Journal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics 127(9): n/a-n/a.; https://hdl.handle.net/2027.42/174933; Journal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics; Roeder, J. L., Chen, M. W., Fennell, J. F., & Friedel, R. ( 2005 ). Empirical models of the low-energy plasma in the inner magnetosphere. Space Weather, 3 ( 12 ). https://doi.org/10.1029/2005SW000161; Pulkkinen, T. I., Dimmock, A. P., Lakka, A., Osmane, A., Kilpua, E., Myllys, M., et al. ( 2016 ). Magnetosheath control of solar wind–magnetosphere coupling efficiency. Journal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics, 121 ( 9 ), 8728 – 8739. https://doi.org/10.1002/2016JA023011; Reeves, G. D., Morley, S. K., Friedel, R. H. W., Henderson, M. G., Cayton, T. E., Cunningham, G., et al. ( 2011 ). 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E., Engebretson, M., Clilverd, M., Rodger, C., Lessard, M., Gjerloev, J., & Reeves, G. ( 2018 ). A distributed lag autoregressive model of geostationary relativistic electron fluxes: Comparing the influences of waves, seed and source electrons, and solar wind inputs. Journal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics, 123 ( 5 ), 3646 – 3671. https://doi.org/10.1029/2017JA025002; Simms, L. E., Engebretson, M., & Reeves, G. ( 2022 ). Removing diurnal signals and longer term trends from electron flux and ULF correlations: A comparison of spectral subtraction, simple differencing, and ARIMAX models. Journal of Geophysical Research.; Simms, L. E., Engebretson, M. J., Clilverd, M. A., Rodger, C. J., & Reeves, G. D. ( 2018 ). Nonlinear and synergistic effects of ULF Pc5, VLF chorus, and EMIC waves on relativistic electron flux at geosynchronous orbit. Journal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics, 123 ( 6 ), 4755 – 4766. https://doi.org/10.1029/2017JA025003; Simms, L. E., Engebretson, M. J., Pilipenko, V., Reeves, G. D., & Clilverd, M. ( 2016 ). Empirical predictive models of daily relativistic electron flux at geostationary orbit: Multiple regression analysis. Journal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics, 121 ( 4 ), 3181 – 3197. https://doi.org/10.1002/2016JA022414; Simms, L. E., Engebretson, M. J., Rodger, C. J., Dimitrakoudis, S., Mann, I. R., & Chi, P. J. ( 2021 ). The combined influence of lower band chorus and ULF waves on radiation belt electron fluxes at individual l-shells. Journal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics, 126, e2020JA028755. https://doi.org/10.1029/2020JA028755; Simms, L. E., Pilipenko, V., Engebretson, M. J., Reeves, G. D., Smith, A. J., & Clilverd, M. ( 2014 ). Prediction of relativistic electron flux at geostationary orbit following storms: Multiple regression analysis. Journal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics, 119 ( 9 ), 7297 – 7318. https://doi.org/10.1002/2014JA019955; Smith, G. ( 2018 ). Step away from stepwise. 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