يعرض 1 - 20 نتائج من 54 نتيجة بحث عن '"Bayesian event tree"', وقت الاستعلام: 0.47s تنقيح النتائج
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    Academic Journal
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    Report

    المساهمون: Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV), Sezione OV, Napoli, Italia, Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV), Sezione Bologna, Bologna, Italia

    وصف الملف: application/pdf

    Relation: Aspinall W (2006) Structured elicitation of expert judgment for probabilistic hazard and risk assessment in volcanic eruptions. In: Mader H, Coles S, Connor C, Connor L (eds). Statistics in Volcanology. Geological Society of London on behalf of IAVCEI, London. pp. 15–30. Bevilacqua A, Isaia R, Neri A, Vitale S, Aspinall WP, Bisson M, Flandoli F, Baxter PJ, Bertagnini A, Esposti Ongaro T, Iannuzzi E, Pistolesi M, Rosi M (2015) Quantifying volcanic hazard at Campi Flegrei caldera (Italy) with uncertainty assessment: 1. Vent opening maps. J Geophys Res 120, 2309-2329. Marzocchi W, Sandri L, Gasparini P, Newhall CG, Boschi E (2004) Quantifying probabilities of volcanic events: The example of volcanic hazard at Mount Vesuvius. J Geophys Res 109, B11201. Marzocchi W, Sandri L, Selva J (2008) BET_EF: a probabilistic tool for long- and short-term eruption forecasting. Bull Volcanol 70, 623-632. Marzocchi W, Sandri L, Selva J (2010) BET_VH: a probabilistic tool for long-term volcanic hazard assessment. Bull Volcanol 72, 717-733. Neri A, Aspinall WP, Cioni R, Bertagnini A, Baxter PJ, Zuccaro G, Andronico D, Barsotti S, Cole PD, Esposti Ongaro T, Hincks TK, Macedonio G, Papale P, Rosi M, Santacroce R, Woo G (2008) Developing an Event Tree for probabilistic hazard and risk assessment at Vesuvius. J Volcanol Geotherm Res 178, 397-415. Neri A, Bevilacqua A, Esposti Ongaro T, Isaia R, Aspinall WP, Bisson M, Flandoli F, Baxter PJ, Bertagnini A, Iannuzzi E, Orsucci S, Pistolesi M, Rosi M, Vitale S (2015) Quantifying volcanic hazard at Campi Flegrei caldera (Italy) with uncertainty assessment: 2. Pyroclastic density current invasion maps. J Geophys Res 120, 2330-2349. Newhall CG, Hoblitt RP (2002) Constructing event trees for volcanic crises. Bull Volcanol 64, 3-20. Orsi G, Di Vito MA, Selva J, Marzocchi W (2009) Long-term forecast of eruption style and size at Campi Flegrei caldera (Italy). Earth Planet Sci Lett 287, 265-276. Sandri L, Tierz P, Costa A, Marzocchi W (2018) Probabilistic hazard from pyroclastic density currents in the Neapolitan area (Southern Italy). J. Geophys. Res. 123, 3474-3500. Selva J, Costa A, Marzocchi W, Sandri L (2010) BET_VH: exploring the influence of natural uncertainties on long-term hazard from tephra fallout at Campi Flegrei (Italy). Bull Volcanol 72, 717-733. Selva J, Orsi G, Di Vito MA, Marzocchi W, Sandri L (2012a) Probability hazard map for future vent opening at Campi Flegrei caldera, Italy. Bull Volcanol 74, 497-510. Selva J, Marzocchi W, Papale P, Sandri L (2012b) Operational eruption forecasting at high-risk volcanoes: the case of Campi Flegrei, Naples. J Appl Volcanol 1, 5. Selva J, Marzocchi W, Sandri L, Costa A (2015) Operational Short-term Volcanic Hazard Analysis: Methods and Perspectives. In: “Volcanic Hazards, Risks, and Disasters”, Eds: Shroder JF, Papale P, Hazards and Disasters Series, Elsevier, pp. 533. Selva J, Costa A, De Natale G, Di Vito MA, Isaia R, Macedonio G (2018) Sensitivity test and ensemble hazard assessment for tephra fallout at Campi Flegrei, Italy. J Volcanol Geotherm Res 351, 1-28. Tonini R, Sandri L, Costa A, Selva J (2015) The effect of submerged vents on probabilistic hazard assessment for tephra fallout. Nat Hazards Earth Syst Sci 15, 409-415; http://hdl.handle.net/2122/14920

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    Report

    المساهمون: Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV), Sezione OV, Napoli, Italia, Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV), Sezione Bologna, Bologna, Italia

    وصف الملف: application/pdf

    Relation: Aspinall WP (2006) Structured elicitation of expert judgment for probabilistic hazard and risk assessment in volcanic eruptions. Statistics in Volcanology, Geol Soc Lond, 15-30. Cooke RM (1991) Experts in Uncertainty. Oxford University Press, 321 pp. Marzocchi W, Sandri L, Gasparini P, Newhall CG, Boschi E (2004) Quantifying probabilities of volcanic events: The example of volcanic hazard at Mount Vesuvius. J Geophys Res 109, B11201. Marzocchi W, Sandri L, Selva J (2008) BET_EF: a probabilistic tool for long- and short-term eruption forecasting. Bull Volcanol 70, 623-632. Marzocchi W, Sandri L, Selva J (2010) BET_VH: a probabilistic tool for long-term volcanic hazard assessment. Bull Volcanol 72, 717-733. Neri A, Aspinall WP, Cioni R, Bertagnini A, Baxter PJ, Zuccaro G, Andronico D, Barsotti S, Cole PD, Esposti Ongaro T, Hincks TK, Macedonio G, Papale P, Rosi M, Santacroce R, Woo G (2008) Developing an Event Tree for probabilistic hazard and risk assessment at Vesuvius. J Volcanol Geotherm Res 178, 397-415. Newhall CG, Hoblitt RP (2002) Constructing event trees for volcanic crises. Bull Volcanol 64, 3-20. Sandri L, Guidoboni E, Marzocchi W, Selva J (2009) Bayesian event tree for eruption forecasting (BET_EF) at Vesuvius, Italy: a retrospective forward application to the 1631 eruption. Bull Volcanol 71, 729-745. Selva J, Costa A, Sandri L, Macedonio G, Marzocchi W (2014) Probabilistic short-term volcanic hazard in phases of unrest: A case study for tephra fallout. J Geophys Res 119, 8805-8826. Tonini R, Sandri L, Thompson AM (2015) PyBetVH: A Python tool for probabilistic volcanic hazard assessment and for generation of Bayesian hazard curves and maps. Comp Geosci 79, 38-46.; http://hdl.handle.net/2122/14152

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    Book

    المؤلفون: Marzocchi, W., Selva, J., Sandri, L.

    المساهمون: Marzocchi, W., Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Sezione Bologna, Bologna, Italia, Selva, J., Sandri, L., Zollo, A., Dipartimento di Scienze Fisiche, Università Federico II, Napoli, Italy

    Relation: Conception, verification and application of innovative techniques to study active volcanoes; http://hdl.handle.net/2122/4677

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    Academic Journal

    المساهمون: Selva, J., Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Sezione Bologna, Bologna, Italia, Costa, A., Sandri, L., Macedonio, G., Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Sezione OV, Napoli, Italia, Marzocchi, W., Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Sezione Roma1, Roma, Italia

    Relation: Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth; 12/119 (2014); http://hdl.handle.net/2122/9437

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    المساهمون: Garcia-Aristizabal, A., AMRA, Selva, J., Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Sezione Bologna, Bologna, Italia, Fujita, E., National Research Institute for Earth Science and Disaster Prevention

    Relation: Bulletin of volcanology; /75(2013); http://hdl.handle.net/2122/8572

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    Academic Journal

    المساهمون: Selva, J., Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Sezione Bologna, Bologna, Italia, Costa, A., Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Sezione OV, Napoli, Italia, Marzocchi, W., Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Sezione Roma1, Roma, Italia, Sandri, L.

    Relation: Bull Volcanol; 6/72 (2010); Barberi F, Macedonio G, Pareschi MT, Santacroce R (1990) Mapping the tephra fallout risk: an example from Vesuvius (Italy). Nature 344:142–144 Barberi F, Principe C, Rosi M, Santacroce R (1995) Scenario dell’evento eruttivo massimo atteso al Vesuvio in caso di riattivazione a breve-medio termine (Aggiornamento al 20.1.1995). CNR, Gruppo Nazionale per la Vulcanologia, Confidential Report to DPC, 19 pp Barberi F, Davis MS, Isaia R, Nave R, Ricci T (2008) Volcanic risk perception in the Vesuvius population. J Volcanol Geotherm Res 172:244–258 Bonadonna C, Costa A (2010) Modeling of tephra sedimentation from volcanic plumes. In: Fagents SA, Gregg TKP, Lopes RMC (eds) Modeling volcanic processes: the physics and mathematics of volcanism (in press) Bonadonna C, Macedonio G, Sparks RSJ (2002) Numerical modelling of tephra fallout associated with dome collapses and vulcanian explosions: application to hazard assessment on Montserrat. In: Druitt TH, Kokelaar BP (eds) The eruption of Soufrire Hills Volcano, Montserrat, from 1995 to 1999. Geol Soc London Mem 21. Geological Society, London, pp 517–537 Cioni R, Longo A, Macedonio G, Santacroce R, Sbrana A, Suplizio R, Andronico D (2003) Assessing pyroclastic fall hazard through field data and numerical simulations: example from Vesuvius. J Geophys Res 108:2063. doi:10.1029/ 2001JB000642 Costa A, DellErba F, Di Vito MA, Isaia R, Macedonio G, Orsi G, Pfeiffer T (2009) Tephra fallout hazard assessment at the Campi Flegrei caldera (Italy). Bull Volcanol 71:259–273. doi:10.1007/s00445-008-0220-3 DPC (Dipartimento Protezione Civile) (1995) Pianificazione Nazionale d’Emergenza dell’Area Vesuviana. Dipartimento della Protezione Civile, Roma DPC/INGV Project V3 (2004–2006) Research on active volcanoes, precursors, scenarios, hazard and risk. Sub-Project V3_2 Campi Flegrei Gelman A, Carlin JB, Stern HS, Rubin DB (1995) Bayesian data analysis. CRC, Boca Raton Krishnamurti TN, Kishtawal CM, Zhang Z, et al (2000) Multimodel ensemble forecasts for weather and seasonal climate. J Clim 13:4196–4216 Lindsay J, Marzocchi W, Jolly G, Constantinescu R, Selva J, Sandri L (2010) Towards real-time eruption forecasting in the Auckland volcanic field: testing of BET_EF during the New Zealand National Disaster Exercise ‘Ruaumoko’. Bull Volcanol 72:185–204. doi:10.1007/s00445- 009-0311-9 Macedonio G, Costa A, Longo A (2005) A computer model for volcanic ash fallout and assessment of subsequent hazard. Comput Geosci 31:837–845 Macedonio G, Costa A, Folch A (2008) Ash fallout at Vesuvius: numerical simulations and implication for hazard assessment. J Volcanol Geotherm Res 178:366–377 Marzocchi W, Sandri L, Selva J (2008) BET_EF: a probabilistic tool for long- and short-term eruption forecasting. Bull Volcanol 70:623–632. doi:10.1007/s00445-007-0157-y Marzocchi W, Sandri L, Selva J (2010) BET_VH: a probabilistic tool for long-time volcanic hazard assessment. Bull Volcanol. doi:10.1007/s00445-010-0357-8 MarzocchiW, Sandri L, Gasparini P, Newhall C, Boschi E (2004) Quantifying probabilities of volcanic events: the example of volcanic hazard at Mount Vesuvius. J Geophys Res 109:B11201. doi:10.1029/2004JB003155 Newhall CG, Hoblitt RP (2002) Constructing event trees for volcanic crises. Bull Volcanol 64:3–20 Orsi G, Di Vito MA, Isaia R (2004) Volcanic hazard assessment at the restless Campi Flegrei caldera. Bull Volcanol 66:514– 530. doi:10.1007/s00445-003-0336-4 Orsi G, di Vito MA, Selva J, Marzocchi W (2009) Long-term forecast of eruption style and size at Campi Flegrei caldera (Italy). Earth Planet Sci Lett 287:265–276 Pfeiffer T, Costa A, Macedonio G (2005) A model for the numerical simulation of tephra fall deposits. J Volcanol Geotherm Res 140:273–294 Sandri L, Guidoboni E, Marzocchi W, Selva J (2009) Bayesian Event Tree for Eruption Forecasting (BET_EF) at Vesuvius, Italy: a retrospective forward application to 1631 eruption. Bull Volcanol 71:729–745. doi:10.1007/ s00445-008-0261-7 Selva J, Di Vito M, Marzocchi W, Orsi G, Quaglino M, Sandri L (2007) Probability map of vent opening at Campi Flegrei, Italy. In: Abstracts of the IUGG XXIV general assembly, 2–13/7/2007, Perugia (Italy) (Asbtract number VS008 6778) Simkin T, Siebert L (1994) Volcanoes of the world. Geoscience Press, Tucson; http://hdl.handle.net/2122/6069

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    المساهمون: Sandri, Laura, Costa, Antonio, Macedonio, Giovanni, D'Auria, Luca

    مصطلحات موضوعية: Python, Tephra, Campi Flegrei, Bayesian Event Tree, Volcanic Hazard

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    المؤلفون: Tonini, R., Sandri, L., Thompson, M. A.

    المساهمون: Tonini, R., Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Sezione Roma1, Roma, Italia, Sandri, L., Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Sezione Bologna, Bologna, Italia, Thompson, M. A., School of Environment, The University of Auckland, New Zealand

    وصف الملف: application/pdf

    Relation: Computers & geosciences; /79 (2015)

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    Academic Journal

    المساهمون: Selva, J., Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Sezione Bologna, Bologna, Italia, Marzocchi, W., Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Sezione Roma1, Roma, Italia, Papale, P., Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Sezione Pisa, Pisa, Italia, Sandri, L.

    وصف الملف: application/pdf

    Relation: Journal of Applied Volcanology; /1(2012)

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    Academic Journal

    المساهمون: Brancato, A., Universita di Catania, Gresta, S., Sandri, L., Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Sezione Bologna, Bologna, Italia, Selva, J., Marzocchi, W., Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Sezione Roma1, Roma, Italia, Alparone, S., Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Sezione Catania, Catania, Italia, Andronico, D., Bonforte, A., Caltabiano, T., Cocina, O., Corsaro, R. A., Cristofolini, R., Di Grazia, G., Distefano, G., Ferlito, C., Gambino, S., Giammanco, S., Greco, F., Napoli, R., Tusa, G., Viccaro, M., Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV), Sezione OE, Catania, Italia

    وصف الملف: application/pdf

    Relation: Bollettino di Geofisica Teorica ed Applicata; 1/53(2012)

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    Academic Journal

    المساهمون: Sandri, L., Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Sezione Bologna, Bologna, Italia, Jolly, G., GNS Science, Wairakei Research Centre, Taupo, New Zealand, Lindsay, J., Institute of Earth Science and Engineering, The University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand, School of Environment, The University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand, Howe, T., Marzocchi, W., Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Sezione Roma1, Roma, Italia

    وصف الملف: application/pdf

    Relation: Bulletin of volcanology; /74(2012); http://hdl.handle.net/2122/7218

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    Academic Journal

    المؤلفون: Marzocchi, W., Sandri, L., Selva, J.

    المساهمون: Marzocchi, W., Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Sezione Roma1, Roma, Italia, Sandri, L., Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Sezione Bologna, Bologna, Italia, Selva, J.

    وصف الملف: application/pdf

    Relation: Bulletin of Volcanology; 6/72 (2010)